Persistent southerly winds and a strong high-pressure ridge are sustaining elevated dew points and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across central Texas, keeping overnight lows in Austin anchored in the upper 70s°F according to National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds around 5–10 mph further reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, while model runs show minimal spread in minimum temperatures near 77–79°F. Trader-implied odds cluster around mid-70s outcomes because historical September averages near 69°F create perceived downside risk if a brief cool-air intrusion develops, yet current atmospheric conditions and short-range guidance favor the warmer side of the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Austin on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 12?
69°F or below 72%
72-73°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
69°F or below
72%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
13%
88°F or higher
3%
69°F or below 72%
72-73°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Wol.
72%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
14%
72-73°F
$42 Wol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
29%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
28%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
24%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
21%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
39%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
39%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
13%
88°F or higher
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly winds and a strong high-pressure ridge are sustaining elevated dew points and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across central Texas, keeping overnight lows in Austin anchored in the upper 70s°F according to National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds around 5–10 mph further reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, while model runs show minimal spread in minimum temperatures near 77–79°F. Trader-implied odds cluster around mid-70s outcomes because historical September averages near 69°F create perceived downside risk if a brief cool-air intrusion develops, yet current atmospheric conditions and short-range guidance favor the warmer side of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$42Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly winds and a strong high-pressure ridge are sustaining elevated dew points and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across central Texas, keeping overnight lows in Austin anchored in the upper 70s°F according to National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds around 5–10 mph further reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, while model runs show minimal spread in minimum temperatures near 77–79°F. Trader-implied odds cluster around mid-70s outcomes because historical September averages near 69°F create perceived downside risk if a brief cool-air intrusion develops, yet current atmospheric conditions and short-range guidance favor the warmer side of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$42Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly winds and a strong high-pressure ridge are sustaining elevated dew points and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across central Texas, keeping overnight lows in Austin anchored in the upper 70s°F according to National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds around 5–10 mph further reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, while model runs show minimal spread in minimum temperatures near 77–79°F. Trader-implied odds cluster around mid-70s outcomes because historical September averages near 69°F create perceived downside risk if a brief cool-air intrusion develops, yet current atmospheric conditions and short-range guidance favor the warmer side of the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania