National Weather Service forecasts and local observations position a high in the low-to-mid 70s as the most likely outcome for Chicago on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's 50.5% implied probability for 74-75°F. A cooler air mass advected by north-northwest winds has suppressed temperatures below the 77°F climatological average, with partly sunny skies and only a 40% chance of light afternoon showers limiting further warming. Model consensus from NWS and regional guidance shows little spread, with peak readings expected near midday before gradual cooling. Traders appear to weigh these official updates heavily, as the 72-73°F and 76-77°F bins capture the remaining realistic range given minor forecast uncertainty in wind timing and cloud cover.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on September 13?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 13?
74-75°F 47%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 18%
70-71°F 9%
$15,536 Wol.
$15,536 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
47%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 47%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 18%
70-71°F 9%
$15,536 Wol.
$15,536 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
67°F or below
$235 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$363 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$6,157 Wol.
9%
72-73°F
$1,556 Wol.
27%
74-75°F
$2,571 Wol.
47%
76-77°F
$2,565 Wol.
18%
78-79°F
$1,233 Wol.
4%
80-81°F
$251 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$325 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$125 Wol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$213 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and local observations position a high in the low-to-mid 70s as the most likely outcome for Chicago on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's 50.5% implied probability for 74-75°F. A cooler air mass advected by north-northwest winds has suppressed temperatures below the 77°F climatological average, with partly sunny skies and only a 40% chance of light afternoon showers limiting further warming. Model consensus from NWS and regional guidance shows little spread, with peak readings expected near midday before gradual cooling. Traders appear to weigh these official updates heavily, as the 72-73°F and 76-77°F bins capture the remaining realistic range given minor forecast uncertainty in wind timing and cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,536Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and local observations position a high in the low-to-mid 70s as the most likely outcome for Chicago on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's 50.5% implied probability for 74-75°F. A cooler air mass advected by north-northwest winds has suppressed temperatures below the 77°F climatological average, with partly sunny skies and only a 40% chance of light afternoon showers limiting further warming. Model consensus from NWS and regional guidance shows little spread, with peak readings expected near midday before gradual cooling. Traders appear to weigh these official updates heavily, as the 72-73°F and 76-77°F bins capture the remaining realistic range given minor forecast uncertainty in wind timing and cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$15,536Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and local observations position a high in the low-to-mid 70s as the most likely outcome for Chicago on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's 50.5% implied probability for 74-75°F. A cooler air mass advected by north-northwest winds has suppressed temperatures below the 77°F climatological average, with partly sunny skies and only a 40% chance of light afternoon showers limiting further warming. Model consensus from NWS and regional guidance shows little spread, with peak readings expected near midday before gradual cooling. Traders appear to weigh these official updates heavily, as the 72-73°F and 76-77°F bins capture the remaining realistic range given minor forecast uncertainty in wind timing and cloud cover.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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