**Forecast models and current observations strongly support a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on September 14, 2026, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based outlooks and agency-aligned predictions, converge on a peak near 31°C (86–88°F) under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. Midday readings already approach 30°C with low humidity and stable high pressure, consistent with late-summer patterns where daily maxima often occur in the afternoon. Historical September averages hover lower (around 26–29°C), but the current synoptic setup favors this warmer outcome. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration station data; realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or slight timing shifts in peak heating that could nudge the recorded high by 1°C either way.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 14?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 14?
31°C 99.9%
32°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.9%
32°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$10 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$42 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$297 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$500 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$863 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$383 Wol.
100%
32°C
$562 Wol.
1%
33°C
$184 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$370 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$80 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations strongly support a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on September 14, 2026, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based outlooks and agency-aligned predictions, converge on a peak near 31°C (86–88°F) under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. Midday readings already approach 30°C with low humidity and stable high pressure, consistent with late-summer patterns where daily maxima often occur in the afternoon. Historical September averages hover lower (around 26–29°C), but the current synoptic setup favors this warmer outcome. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration station data; realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or slight timing shifts in peak heating that could nudge the recorded high by 1°C either way.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,282Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations strongly support a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on September 14, 2026, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based outlooks and agency-aligned predictions, converge on a peak near 31°C (86–88°F) under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. Midday readings already approach 30°C with low humidity and stable high pressure, consistent with late-summer patterns where daily maxima often occur in the afternoon. Historical September averages hover lower (around 26–29°C), but the current synoptic setup favors this warmer outcome. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration station data; realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or slight timing shifts in peak heating that could nudge the recorded high by 1°C either way.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,282Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and current observations strongly support a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on September 14, 2026, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based outlooks and agency-aligned predictions, converge on a peak near 31°C (86–88°F) under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. Midday readings already approach 30°C with low humidity and stable high pressure, consistent with late-summer patterns where daily maxima often occur in the afternoon. Historical September averages hover lower (around 26–29°C), but the current synoptic setup favors this warmer outcome. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration station data; realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or slight timing shifts in peak heating that could nudge the recorded high by 1°C either way.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania