Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin shows persistent southerly flow and high dew points limiting overnight radiative cooling, with the September 16 minimum expected in the mid-70s. This places the outcome squarely between the market's two leading bins—88 °F or higher versus 69 °F or below—producing the near-even implied probabilities. Persistent heat and limited cloud cover favor the higher end of recent climatology, while any strengthening of a frontal boundary or increased moisture could enhance cooling and push readings toward or below 70 °F. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for traders assessing whether the current warm bias holds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Austin on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 16?
69°F or below 97%
88°F or higher 96%
72-73°F 39%
78-79°F 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
69°F or below
97%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88°F or higher
96%
69°F or below 97%
88°F or higher 96%
72-73°F 39%
78-79°F 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Wol.
97%
70-71°F
$567 Wol.
9%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
22%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
22%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
39%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
39%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
39%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
39%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
39%
88°F or higher
$0 Wol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin shows persistent southerly flow and high dew points limiting overnight radiative cooling, with the September 16 minimum expected in the mid-70s. This places the outcome squarely between the market's two leading bins—88 °F or higher versus 69 °F or below—producing the near-even implied probabilities. Persistent heat and limited cloud cover favor the higher end of recent climatology, while any strengthening of a frontal boundary or increased moisture could enhance cooling and push readings toward or below 70 °F. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for traders assessing whether the current warm bias holds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$567Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin shows persistent southerly flow and high dew points limiting overnight radiative cooling, with the September 16 minimum expected in the mid-70s. This places the outcome squarely between the market's two leading bins—88 °F or higher versus 69 °F or below—producing the near-even implied probabilities. Persistent heat and limited cloud cover favor the higher end of recent climatology, while any strengthening of a frontal boundary or increased moisture could enhance cooling and push readings toward or below 70 °F. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for traders assessing whether the current warm bias holds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$567Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin shows persistent southerly flow and high dew points limiting overnight radiative cooling, with the September 16 minimum expected in the mid-70s. This places the outcome squarely between the market's two leading bins—88 °F or higher versus 69 °F or below—producing the near-even implied probabilities. Persistent heat and limited cloud cover favor the higher end of recent climatology, while any strengthening of a frontal boundary or increased moisture could enhance cooling and push readings toward or below 70 °F. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for traders assessing whether the current warm bias holds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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