Recent National Weather Service and model consensus, including GFS guidance, positions the highest temperature in New York City on September 14 around 75–76°F. Northwest winds behind a departing frontal system are expected to limit afternoon warming while clearing skies after possible morning clouds or light showers, keeping readings near or slightly below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 77°F. This setup explains the market’s heavy weighting on the 76–77°F bin and solid support for 74–75°F, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes that would require stronger southerly flow or delayed clearing. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and any last adjustments from the National Weather Service before the day’s maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on September 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 14?
76-77°F 59%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 11%
72-73°F 5%
NOWE
$10,038 Wol.
NOWE
$10,038 Wol.
Sep 14, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
59%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 59%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 11%
72-73°F 5%
NOWE
$10,038 Wol.
NOWE
$10,038 Wol.
Sep 14, 2026
65°F or below
$246 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$228 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$126 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$227 Wol.
2%
72-73°F
$580 Wol.
5%
74-75°F
$2,357 Wol.
25%
76-77°F
$2,062 Wol.
59%
78-79°F
$3,098 Wol.
11%
80-81°F
$353 Wol.
2%
82-83°F
$523 Wol.
1%
84°F or higher
$238 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus, including GFS guidance, positions the highest temperature in New York City on September 14 around 75–76°F. Northwest winds behind a departing frontal system are expected to limit afternoon warming while clearing skies after possible morning clouds or light showers, keeping readings near or slightly below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 77°F. This setup explains the market’s heavy weighting on the 76–77°F bin and solid support for 74–75°F, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes that would require stronger southerly flow or delayed clearing. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and any last adjustments from the National Weather Service before the day’s maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,038Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus, including GFS guidance, positions the highest temperature in New York City on September 14 around 75–76°F. Northwest winds behind a departing frontal system are expected to limit afternoon warming while clearing skies after possible morning clouds or light showers, keeping readings near or slightly below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 77°F. This setup explains the market’s heavy weighting on the 76–77°F bin and solid support for 74–75°F, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes that would require stronger southerly flow or delayed clearing. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and any last adjustments from the National Weather Service before the day’s maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,038Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus, including GFS guidance, positions the highest temperature in New York City on September 14 around 75–76°F. Northwest winds behind a departing frontal system are expected to limit afternoon warming while clearing skies after possible morning clouds or light showers, keeping readings near or slightly below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 77°F. This setup explains the market’s heavy weighting on the 76–77°F bin and solid support for 74–75°F, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes that would require stronger southerly flow or delayed clearing. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and any last adjustments from the National Weather Service before the day’s maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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