Forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS indicate scattered showers and increased cloud cover over Hong Kong on September 13, driven by easterly winds and moderate humidity around 80%, which should cap solar heating and limit the daily maximum temperature. This setup favors highs near 28–30°C, with the exact peak hinging on the timing and intensity of convective activity that can briefly suppress or enhance surface warming. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, but the current pattern aligns with cooler-than-normal conditions amid ongoing precipitation chances of 60–70%. Traders weigh these variables against potential model shifts in afternoon updates from the Hong Kong Observatory, where small changes in cloud timing could tip the outcome between the closely matched 29°C and 30°C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
29°C 36%
30°C 29%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
$10,811 Wol.
$10,811 Wol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
19%
29°C
36%
30°C
29%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 29%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
$10,811 Wol.
$10,811 Wol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
19%
29°C
36%
30°C
29%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS indicate scattered showers and increased cloud cover over Hong Kong on September 13, driven by easterly winds and moderate humidity around 80%, which should cap solar heating and limit the daily maximum temperature. This setup favors highs near 28–30°C, with the exact peak hinging on the timing and intensity of convective activity that can briefly suppress or enhance surface warming. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, but the current pattern aligns with cooler-than-normal conditions amid ongoing precipitation chances of 60–70%. Traders weigh these variables against potential model shifts in afternoon updates from the Hong Kong Observatory, where small changes in cloud timing could tip the outcome between the closely matched 29°C and 30°C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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