**The market consensus at 100% for a 27°C minimum on September 13, 2026, rests on verified observational data from Hong Kong weather stations showing overnight and early-morning readings holding at 27°C before rising to a daytime high of 28°C under patchy rain and moderate easterly winds.** Hourly records confirm no lower values occurred, consistent with the Hong Kong Observatory’s climatological patterns for mid-September where minima typically range 25–27°C amid weakening monsoon influence and residual moisture. This outcome aligns with real-time station measurements rather than model projections, leaving little room for trader disagreement once data became available. Only an unlikely post-event revision to official records or use of an atypical station could alter resolution, though current evidence shows strong uniformity across sources.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$23,361 Wol.
$23,361 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$23,361 Wol.
$23,361 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
$1,334 Wol.
No
23°C
$2,726 Wol.
No
24°C
$3,185 Wol.
No
25°C
$3,892 Wol.
No
26°C
$2,763 Wol.
No
27°C
$8,620 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$446 Wol.
No
29°C
$164 Wol.
No
30°C
$77 Wol.
No
31°C
$77 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$77 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The market consensus at 100% for a 27°C minimum on September 13, 2026, rests on verified observational data from Hong Kong weather stations showing overnight and early-morning readings holding at 27°C before rising to a daytime high of 28°C under patchy rain and moderate easterly winds.** Hourly records confirm no lower values occurred, consistent with the Hong Kong Observatory’s climatological patterns for mid-September where minima typically range 25–27°C amid weakening monsoon influence and residual moisture. This outcome aligns with real-time station measurements rather than model projections, leaving little room for trader disagreement once data became available. Only an unlikely post-event revision to official records or use of an atypical station could alter resolution, though current evidence shows strong uniformity across sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,361Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The market consensus at 100% for a 27°C minimum on September 13, 2026, rests on verified observational data from Hong Kong weather stations showing overnight and early-morning readings holding at 27°C before rising to a daytime high of 28°C under patchy rain and moderate easterly winds.** Hourly records confirm no lower values occurred, consistent with the Hong Kong Observatory’s climatological patterns for mid-September where minima typically range 25–27°C amid weakening monsoon influence and residual moisture. This outcome aligns with real-time station measurements rather than model projections, leaving little room for trader disagreement once data became available. Only an unlikely post-event revision to official records or use of an atypical station could alter resolution, though current evidence shows strong uniformity across sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$23,361Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**The market consensus at 100% for a 27°C minimum on September 13, 2026, rests on verified observational data from Hong Kong weather stations showing overnight and early-morning readings holding at 27°C before rising to a daytime high of 28°C under patchy rain and moderate easterly winds.** Hourly records confirm no lower values occurred, consistent with the Hong Kong Observatory’s climatological patterns for mid-September where minima typically range 25–27°C amid weakening monsoon influence and residual moisture. This outcome aligns with real-time station measurements rather than model projections, leaving little room for trader disagreement once data became available. Only an unlikely post-event revision to official records or use of an atypical station could alter resolution, though current evidence shows strong uniformity across sources.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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