**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for September 18, driven by the northeast monsoon maintaining stable, fine conditions with moderate easterly winds and low humidity overnight.** Clear skies and limited cloud cover overnight are expected to allow radiational cooling, though urban heat island effects and dew points around 22–24°C may cap the drop. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, with climatological September minima typically 25–26°C providing context for the tight spread. Traders appear to weigh slight variations in local observations versus broader guidance, keeping 26°C as the plurality outcome while 27°C remains close behind. No significant weather systems are forecast to alter the pattern before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
26°C 57%
27°C 39%
23°C 3%
24°C 3%
NOWE
$11,842 Wol.
NOWE
$11,842 Wol.
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
57%
27°C
39%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 57%
27°C 39%
23°C 3%
24°C 3%
NOWE
$11,842 Wol.
NOWE
$11,842 Wol.
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
$81 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
2%
23°C
$0 Wol.
3%
24°C
$0 Wol.
3%
25°C
$649 Wol.
2%
26°C
$4,437 Wol.
57%
27°C
$2,715 Wol.
39%
28°C
$1,534 Wol.
1%
29°C
$53 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,187 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$1,187 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for September 18, driven by the northeast monsoon maintaining stable, fine conditions with moderate easterly winds and low humidity overnight.** Clear skies and limited cloud cover overnight are expected to allow radiational cooling, though urban heat island effects and dew points around 22–24°C may cap the drop. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, with climatological September minima typically 25–26°C providing context for the tight spread. Traders appear to weigh slight variations in local observations versus broader guidance, keeping 26°C as the plurality outcome while 27°C remains close behind. No significant weather systems are forecast to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,842Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for September 18, driven by the northeast monsoon maintaining stable, fine conditions with moderate easterly winds and low humidity overnight.** Clear skies and limited cloud cover overnight are expected to allow radiational cooling, though urban heat island effects and dew points around 22–24°C may cap the drop. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, with climatological September minima typically 25–26°C providing context for the tight spread. Traders appear to weigh slight variations in local observations versus broader guidance, keeping 26°C as the plurality outcome while 27°C remains close behind. No significant weather systems are forecast to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$11,842Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for September 18, driven by the northeast monsoon maintaining stable, fine conditions with moderate easterly winds and low humidity overnight.** Clear skies and limited cloud cover overnight are expected to allow radiational cooling, though urban heat island effects and dew points around 22–24°C may cap the drop. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, with climatological September minima typically 25–26°C providing context for the tight spread. Traders appear to weigh slight variations in local observations versus broader guidance, keeping 26°C as the plurality outcome while 27°C remains close behind. No significant weather systems are forecast to alter the pattern before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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