Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 20–21°C for Moscow on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and southwesterly flow, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability above 68%. Milder air advection from southern latitudes, combined with moderate winds of 4–6 m/s and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, supports temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable pressure near 1013–1015 hPa, reducing downside scenarios below 19°C while capping upside potential near 22°C absent rapid warming. Traders appear to weigh minor ensemble spread in afternoon maxima against the short two-day lead time before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on September 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 17?
21°C 51%
20°C 27%
22°C 16%
19°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
27%
21°C
51%
22°C
16%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 51%
20°C 27%
22°C 16%
19°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
$145 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$174 Wol.
1%
17°C
$160 Wol.
2%
18°C
$79 Wol.
2%
19°C
$56 Wol.
6%
20°C
$407 Wol.
27%
21°C
$336 Wol.
51%
22°C
$51 Wol.
16%
23°C
$308 Wol.
3%
24°C
$62 Wol.
5%
25°C or higher
$187 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 20–21°C for Moscow on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and southwesterly flow, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability above 68%. Milder air advection from southern latitudes, combined with moderate winds of 4–6 m/s and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, supports temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable pressure near 1013–1015 hPa, reducing downside scenarios below 19°C while capping upside potential near 22°C absent rapid warming. Traders appear to weigh minor ensemble spread in afternoon maxima against the short two-day lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,965Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 20–21°C for Moscow on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and southwesterly flow, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability above 68%. Milder air advection from southern latitudes, combined with moderate winds of 4–6 m/s and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, supports temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable pressure near 1013–1015 hPa, reducing downside scenarios below 19°C while capping upside potential near 22°C absent rapid warming. Traders appear to weigh minor ensemble spread in afternoon maxima against the short two-day lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,965Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 20–21°C for Moscow on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and southwesterly flow, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability above 68%. Milder air advection from southern latitudes, combined with moderate winds of 4–6 m/s and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, supports temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable pressure near 1013–1015 hPa, reducing downside scenarios below 19°C while capping upside potential near 22°C absent rapid warming. Traders appear to weigh minor ensemble spread in afternoon maxima against the short two-day lead time before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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