Current forecast models place Toronto's September 17 high temperature in a narrow 23–25°C range, which accounts for the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities of 27–28% on 23–24°C and 21.5% on 25°C. Ensemble guidance reveals modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and strength of a weak trough crossing the lower Great Lakes, along with variable boundary-layer moisture that can alter daytime heating rates by 1–2°C. Official guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada and global models such as the ECMWF and GFS will be closely watched through tonight for any adjustments to the thermal profile ahead of the daily maximum. Mid-September climatology shows typical highs near 22°C, so the market slightly favors a modestly above-normal outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on September 17?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 17?
24°C 31%
23°C 27%
25°C 22%
22°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
4%
22°C
16%
23°C
27%
24°C
31%
25°C
22%
26°C
12%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 31%
23°C 27%
25°C 22%
22°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
20°C
$10 Wol.
7%
21°C
$15 Wol.
4%
22°C
$17 Wol.
16%
23°C
$20 Wol.
27%
24°C
$205 Wol.
31%
25°C
$71 Wol.
22%
26°C
$5 Wol.
12%
27°C
$121 Wol.
3%
28°C
$125 Wol.
1%
29°C or higher
$158 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models place Toronto's September 17 high temperature in a narrow 23–25°C range, which accounts for the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities of 27–28% on 23–24°C and 21.5% on 25°C. Ensemble guidance reveals modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and strength of a weak trough crossing the lower Great Lakes, along with variable boundary-layer moisture that can alter daytime heating rates by 1–2°C. Official guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada and global models such as the ECMWF and GFS will be closely watched through tonight for any adjustments to the thermal profile ahead of the daily maximum. Mid-September climatology shows typical highs near 22°C, so the market slightly favors a modestly above-normal outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$746Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models place Toronto's September 17 high temperature in a narrow 23–25°C range, which accounts for the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities of 27–28% on 23–24°C and 21.5% on 25°C. Ensemble guidance reveals modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and strength of a weak trough crossing the lower Great Lakes, along with variable boundary-layer moisture that can alter daytime heating rates by 1–2°C. Official guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada and global models such as the ECMWF and GFS will be closely watched through tonight for any adjustments to the thermal profile ahead of the daily maximum. Mid-September climatology shows typical highs near 22°C, so the market slightly favors a modestly above-normal outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$746Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models place Toronto's September 17 high temperature in a narrow 23–25°C range, which accounts for the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities of 27–28% on 23–24°C and 21.5% on 25°C. Ensemble guidance reveals modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and strength of a weak trough crossing the lower Great Lakes, along with variable boundary-layer moisture that can alter daytime heating rates by 1–2°C. Official guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada and global models such as the ECMWF and GFS will be closely watched through tonight for any adjustments to the thermal profile ahead of the daily maximum. Mid-September climatology shows typical highs near 22°C, so the market slightly favors a modestly above-normal outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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