Official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirms a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on September 16, driving the near-certain market consensus at that threshold. Recent atmospheric conditions, including light winds, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure influence, aligned with model guidance to produce this peak without exceeding it. Historical September baselines for the region typically range 28–32°C, providing climatological context for the outcome. With verified measurements now available, remaining probability mass on adjacent bins reflects only minor residual uncertainty around exact reporting criteria or micro-site variations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$146,152 Wol.
$146,152 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$146,152 Wol.
$146,152 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$712 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$37,248 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$16,558 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$26,622 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$26,566 Wol.
100%
33°C
$8,954 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$1,686 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,955 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirms a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on September 16, driving the near-certain market consensus at that threshold. Recent atmospheric conditions, including light winds, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure influence, aligned with model guidance to produce this peak without exceeding it. Historical September baselines for the region typically range 28–32°C, providing climatological context for the outcome. With verified measurements now available, remaining probability mass on adjacent bins reflects only minor residual uncertainty around exact reporting criteria or micro-site variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$146,152Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirms a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on September 16, driving the near-certain market consensus at that threshold. Recent atmospheric conditions, including light winds, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure influence, aligned with model guidance to produce this peak without exceeding it. Historical September baselines for the region typically range 28–32°C, providing climatological context for the outcome. With verified measurements now available, remaining probability mass on adjacent bins reflects only minor residual uncertainty around exact reporting criteria or micro-site variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$146,152Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirms a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on September 16, driving the near-certain market consensus at that threshold. Recent atmospheric conditions, including light winds, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure influence, aligned with model guidance to produce this peak without exceeding it. Historical September baselines for the region typically range 28–32°C, providing climatological context for the outcome. With verified measurements now available, remaining probability mass on adjacent bins reflects only minor residual uncertainty around exact reporting criteria or micro-site variations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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