**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18 around 13–15°C under mild spring conditions with northeast winds and increasing cloud cover overnight.** This aligns with the market clustering probabilities near the mid-teens while the near-even split between “8°C or below” and “18°C or higher” (both ~48%) reflects residual uncertainty in how much radiative cooling occurs versus warmer advection or cloud effects. Key differentiators include the strength of any low-level inversion, exact timing of cloud increase (which reduces nighttime heat loss), and minor shifts in wind direction that could alter boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance shows stable high pressure with no strong cold front expected until later in the week, keeping the most likely outcome in a narrow band around 14°C; new model runs or surface observations in the next 12–24 hours could still nudge the precise minimum by 1–2°C and move the tighter buckets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
8°C or below 100%
18°C or higher 100%
9°C 87%
11°C 87%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
8°C or below
100%
9°C
87%
10°C
40%
11°C
87%
12°C
87%
13°C
21%
14°C
87%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C or higher
100%
8°C or below 100%
18°C or higher 100%
9°C 87%
11°C 87%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
9°C
$0 Wol.
87%
10°C
$0 Wol.
40%
11°C
$0 Wol.
87%
12°C
$0 Wol.
87%
13°C
$7 Wol.
21%
14°C
$0 Wol.
87%
15°C
$0 Wol.
38%
16°C
$0 Wol.
38%
17°C
$0 Wol.
38%
18°C or higher
$0 Wol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18 around 13–15°C under mild spring conditions with northeast winds and increasing cloud cover overnight.** This aligns with the market clustering probabilities near the mid-teens while the near-even split between “8°C or below” and “18°C or higher” (both ~48%) reflects residual uncertainty in how much radiative cooling occurs versus warmer advection or cloud effects.
Key differentiators include the strength of any low-level inversion, exact timing of cloud increase (which reduces nighttime heat loss), and minor shifts in wind direction that could alter boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance shows stable high pressure with no strong cold front expected until later in the week, keeping the most likely outcome in a narrow band around 14°C; new model runs or surface observations in the next 12–24 hours could still nudge the precise minimum by 1–2°C and move the tighter buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$7Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18 around 13–15°C under mild spring conditions with northeast winds and increasing cloud cover overnight.** This aligns with the market clustering probabilities near the mid-teens while the near-even split between “8°C or below” and “18°C or higher” (both ~48%) reflects residual uncertainty in how much radiative cooling occurs versus warmer advection or cloud effects.
Key differentiators include the strength of any low-level inversion, exact timing of cloud increase (which reduces nighttime heat loss), and minor shifts in wind direction that could alter boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance shows stable high pressure with no strong cold front expected until later in the week, keeping the most likely outcome in a narrow band around 14°C; new model runs or surface observations in the next 12–24 hours could still nudge the precise minimum by 1–2°C and move the tighter buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18 around 13–15°C under mild spring conditions with northeast winds and increasing cloud cover overnight.** This aligns with the market clustering probabilities near the mid-teens while the near-even split between “8°C or below” and “18°C or higher” (both ~48%) reflects residual uncertainty in how much radiative cooling occurs versus warmer advection or cloud effects. Key differentiators include the strength of any low-level inversion, exact timing of cloud increase (which reduces nighttime heat loss), and minor shifts in wind direction that could alter boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance shows stable high pressure with no strong cold front expected until later in the week, keeping the most likely outcome in a narrow band around 14°C; new model runs or surface observations in the next 12–24 hours could still nudge the precise minimum by 1–2°C and move the tighter buckets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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