Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and global guidance such as GFS indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light easterly winds and possible brief drizzle for September 17. These conditions are expected to limit daytime solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C. Current observations show Shanghai at or slightly above seasonal norms after a 29–30 °C reading on the 16th, but increasing cloud cover and modest onshore flow are suppressing further warming. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28 °C reflects this stable forecast consensus, with only modest scope for a one-degree shift if afternoon clearing occurs or if model trends adjust overnight. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 17?
28°C 62%
29°C 21%
27°C 16%
30°C 3%
NOWE
$23,252 Wol.
NOWE
$23,252 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
16%
28°C
62%
29°C
21%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 62%
29°C 21%
27°C 16%
30°C 3%
NOWE
$23,252 Wol.
NOWE
$23,252 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
$199 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,530 Wol.
1%
27°C
$8,473 Wol.
16%
28°C
$4,276 Wol.
62%
29°C
$4,141 Wol.
21%
30°C
$1,749 Wol.
3%
31°C
$1,511 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$675 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$308 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$196 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$196 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and global guidance such as GFS indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light easterly winds and possible brief drizzle for September 17. These conditions are expected to limit daytime solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C. Current observations show Shanghai at or slightly above seasonal norms after a 29–30 °C reading on the 16th, but increasing cloud cover and modest onshore flow are suppressing further warming. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28 °C reflects this stable forecast consensus, with only modest scope for a one-degree shift if afternoon clearing occurs or if model trends adjust overnight. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,252Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and global guidance such as GFS indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light easterly winds and possible brief drizzle for September 17. These conditions are expected to limit daytime solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C. Current observations show Shanghai at or slightly above seasonal norms after a 29–30 °C reading on the 16th, but increasing cloud cover and modest onshore flow are suppressing further warming. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28 °C reflects this stable forecast consensus, with only modest scope for a one-degree shift if afternoon clearing occurs or if model trends adjust overnight. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$23,252Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and global guidance such as GFS indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light easterly winds and possible brief drizzle for September 17. These conditions are expected to limit daytime solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C. Current observations show Shanghai at or slightly above seasonal norms after a 29–30 °C reading on the 16th, but increasing cloud cover and modest onshore flow are suppressing further warming. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28 °C reflects this stable forecast consensus, with only modest scope for a one-degree shift if afternoon clearing occurs or if model trends adjust overnight. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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