Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicates mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Houston on September 18, supporting efficient overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 95°F. This setup favors a low in the upper 70s, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 32.5% implied probability. Elevated humidity and the absence of a strong cold front limit further drops, while minor model spreads in cloud cover and wind timing create the observed dispersion across 76-81°F outcomes. Historical September lows average near 72°F, yet the current warm pattern and stable high-pressure ridge keep cooler bins below 10% combined. Updated NWS briefings tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Houston on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 18?
78-79°F 53%
80-81°F 39%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
5%
78-79°F 53%
80-81°F 39%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Wol.
5%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
7%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
11%
76-77°F
$6 Wol.
19%
78-79°F
$62 Wol.
31%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
39%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
11%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
7%
88-89°F
$0 Wol.
5%
90°F or higher
$0 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicates mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Houston on September 18, supporting efficient overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 95°F. This setup favors a low in the upper 70s, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 32.5% implied probability. Elevated humidity and the absence of a strong cold front limit further drops, while minor model spreads in cloud cover and wind timing create the observed dispersion across 76-81°F outcomes. Historical September lows average near 72°F, yet the current warm pattern and stable high-pressure ridge keep cooler bins below 10% combined. Updated NWS briefings tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$68Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 3:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicates mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Houston on September 18, supporting efficient overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 95°F. This setup favors a low in the upper 70s, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 32.5% implied probability. Elevated humidity and the absence of a strong cold front limit further drops, while minor model spreads in cloud cover and wind timing create the observed dispersion across 76-81°F outcomes. Historical September lows average near 72°F, yet the current warm pattern and stable high-pressure ridge keep cooler bins below 10% combined. Updated NWS briefings tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$68Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 3:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicates mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Houston on September 18, supporting efficient overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 95°F. This setup favors a low in the upper 70s, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 32.5% implied probability. Elevated humidity and the absence of a strong cold front limit further drops, while minor model spreads in cloud cover and wind timing create the observed dispersion across 76-81°F outcomes. Historical September lows average near 72°F, yet the current warm pattern and stable high-pressure ridge keep cooler bins below 10% combined. Updated NWS briefings tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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