Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 17 under clear skies and a moderate easterly monsoon flow, aligning closely with the market’s leading 27°C and 26°C outcomes. Persistent northeast monsoon conditions have suppressed cloud cover and moisture, producing typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight while daytime highs remain near 31°C. Numerical guidance shows little spread, with overnight lows stabilizing between 25–27°C depending on exact wind speed and urban heat-island effects. No tropical systems or frontal passages are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Traders appear to weight the consensus minimum near 27°C, with modest probability assigned to a slightly cooler 26°C reading if winds remain lighter than forecast.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
27°C 62%
26°C 29%
25°C 8%
28°C 4%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
29%
27°C
62%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 62%
26°C 29%
25°C 8%
28°C 4%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
29%
27°C
62%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 17 under clear skies and a moderate easterly monsoon flow, aligning closely with the market’s leading 27°C and 26°C outcomes. Persistent northeast monsoon conditions have suppressed cloud cover and moisture, producing typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight while daytime highs remain near 31°C. Numerical guidance shows little spread, with overnight lows stabilizing between 25–27°C depending on exact wind speed and urban heat-island effects. No tropical systems or frontal passages are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Traders appear to weight the consensus minimum near 27°C, with modest probability assigned to a slightly cooler 26°C reading if winds remain lighter than forecast.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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