Recent forecast model consensus from Environment Canada and supporting guidance points to overnight lows in Toronto on September 17 clustered near 15–16 °C, with traders assigning roughly equal implied probabilities to 15 °C, 16 °C, and 21 °C or higher. Variability stems primarily from differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival timing of a cooler air mass behind a weak frontal passage. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can alter the minimum by 2–4 °C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 13–14 °C, providing context that current guidance sits slightly above normal. Updated model runs and official temperature observations released overnight will likely drive the next market adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Toronto on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 17?
21°C or higher 65%
15°C 40%
14°C 38%
16°C 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
3%
12°C
14%
13°C
18%
14°C
38%
15°C
31%
16°C
31%
17°C
22%
18°C
21%
19°C
23%
20°C
16%
21°C or higher
65%
21°C or higher 65%
15°C 40%
14°C 38%
16°C 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
$51 Wol.
3%
12°C
$0 Wol.
14%
13°C
$0 Wol.
18%
14°C
$0 Wol.
38%
15°C
$228 Wol.
31%
16°C
$0 Wol.
31%
17°C
$23 Wol.
22%
18°C
$0 Wol.
21%
19°C
$79 Wol.
23%
20°C
$0 Wol.
16%
21°C or higher
$0 Wol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from Environment Canada and supporting guidance points to overnight lows in Toronto on September 17 clustered near 15–16 °C, with traders assigning roughly equal implied probabilities to 15 °C, 16 °C, and 21 °C or higher. Variability stems primarily from differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival timing of a cooler air mass behind a weak frontal passage. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can alter the minimum by 2–4 °C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 13–14 °C, providing context that current guidance sits slightly above normal. Updated model runs and official temperature observations released overnight will likely drive the next market adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$380Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from Environment Canada and supporting guidance points to overnight lows in Toronto on September 17 clustered near 15–16 °C, with traders assigning roughly equal implied probabilities to 15 °C, 16 °C, and 21 °C or higher. Variability stems primarily from differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival timing of a cooler air mass behind a weak frontal passage. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can alter the minimum by 2–4 °C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 13–14 °C, providing context that current guidance sits slightly above normal. Updated model runs and official temperature observations released overnight will likely drive the next market adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$380Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from Environment Canada and supporting guidance points to overnight lows in Toronto on September 17 clustered near 15–16 °C, with traders assigning roughly equal implied probabilities to 15 °C, 16 °C, and 21 °C or higher. Variability stems primarily from differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival timing of a cooler air mass behind a weak frontal passage. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can alter the minimum by 2–4 °C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 13–14 °C, providing context that current guidance sits slightly above normal. Updated model runs and official temperature observations released overnight will likely drive the next market adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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