Current short-range forecasts from NWS and private models converge on a high near 80–81°F for New York City on September 18, driven by a building ridge, northerly flow after frontal passage, and reduced cloud cover that limits afternoon mixing. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 average high of 75.6°F while remaining well below record territory. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins reflects genuine uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer details across ensemble members, with lower-probability tails capturing risks of greater clearing or lingering moisture. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on September 18?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 18?
78-79°F 34%
71°F or below 32%
80-81°F 31%
90°F or higher 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
71°F or below
32%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
16%
90°F or higher
31%
78-79°F 34%
71°F or below 32%
80-81°F 31%
90°F or higher 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Wol.
32%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
9%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
8%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
34%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
31%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
29%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
30%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
23%
88-89°F
$0 Wol.
16%
90°F or higher
$0 Wol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from NWS and private models converge on a high near 80–81°F for New York City on September 18, driven by a building ridge, northerly flow after frontal passage, and reduced cloud cover that limits afternoon mixing. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 average high of 75.6°F while remaining well below record territory. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins reflects genuine uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer details across ensemble members, with lower-probability tails capturing risks of greater clearing or lingering moisture. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from NWS and private models converge on a high near 80–81°F for New York City on September 18, driven by a building ridge, northerly flow after frontal passage, and reduced cloud cover that limits afternoon mixing. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 average high of 75.6°F while remaining well below record territory. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins reflects genuine uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer details across ensemble members, with lower-probability tails capturing risks of greater clearing or lingering moisture. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from NWS and private models converge on a high near 80–81°F for New York City on September 18, driven by a building ridge, northerly flow after frontal passage, and reduced cloud cover that limits afternoon mixing. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 average high of 75.6°F while remaining well below record territory. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins reflects genuine uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer details across ensemble members, with lower-probability tails capturing risks of greater clearing or lingering moisture. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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