Recent forecasts from models such as GFS place the September 17 high temperature in New York City near 80°F under mostly cloudy skies with southerly flow and a chance of showers, positioning 82-83°F as the market leader at 35% implied probability. This reflects slight warming relative to mid-September climatological averages of 75-78°F, driven by persistent southerly winds and limited mixing. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential afternoon clearing or convective development that could push readings into the mid-80s. Key upcoming updates include the next NWS and NOAA model runs, which will refine maximum temperature guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on September 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 17?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 29%
78-79°F 26%
80-81°F 21%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
71°F or below
7%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
15%
90°F or higher
7%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 29%
78-79°F 26%
80-81°F 21%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Wol.
7%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
5%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
5%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
8%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
26%
80-81°F
$14 Wol.
21%
82-83°F
$31 Wol.
36%
84-85°F
$305 Wol.
23%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
5%
88-89°F
$0 Wol.
15%
90°F or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS place the September 17 high temperature in New York City near 80°F under mostly cloudy skies with southerly flow and a chance of showers, positioning 82-83°F as the market leader at 35% implied probability. This reflects slight warming relative to mid-September climatological averages of 75-78°F, driven by persistent southerly winds and limited mixing. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential afternoon clearing or convective development that could push readings into the mid-80s. Key upcoming updates include the next NWS and NOAA model runs, which will refine maximum temperature guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$351Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS place the September 17 high temperature in New York City near 80°F under mostly cloudy skies with southerly flow and a chance of showers, positioning 82-83°F as the market leader at 35% implied probability. This reflects slight warming relative to mid-September climatological averages of 75-78°F, driven by persistent southerly winds and limited mixing. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential afternoon clearing or convective development that could push readings into the mid-80s. Key upcoming updates include the next NWS and NOAA model runs, which will refine maximum temperature guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$351Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as GFS place the September 17 high temperature in New York City near 80°F under mostly cloudy skies with southerly flow and a chance of showers, positioning 82-83°F as the market leader at 35% implied probability. This reflects slight warming relative to mid-September climatological averages of 75-78°F, driven by persistent southerly winds and limited mixing. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential afternoon clearing or convective development that could push readings into the mid-80s. Key upcoming updates include the next NWS and NOAA model runs, which will refine maximum temperature guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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