Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate a high likelihood of convective activity over Shenzhen on September 15, driven by moist southwesterly flow and residual monsoon influences, which typically limits peak insolation and caps daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Scattered thunderstorms or periods of cloud cover are expected to suppress temperatures relative to clearer-sky scenarios, aligning with historical September baselines of 29–31°C while allowing for brief spikes if rain timing shifts later. Ensemble spread and short-range model updates introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds, which traders appear to price through closely matched probabilities for 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting real-time adjustments to evolving moisture and steering patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15?
31°C 26%
32°C 22%
30°C 19%
35°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
9%
30°C
19%
31°C
26%
32°C
22%
33°C
11%
34°C
10%
35°C
14%
36°C or higher
4%
31°C 26%
32°C 22%
30°C 19%
35°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
$10 Wol.
4%
27°C
$10 Wol.
4%
28°C
$18 Wol.
8%
29°C
$30 Wol.
9%
30°C
$0 Wol.
19%
31°C
$0 Wol.
26%
32°C
$0 Wol.
22%
33°C
$70 Wol.
11%
34°C
$25 Wol.
10%
35°C
$36 Wol.
14%
36°C or higher
$10 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate a high likelihood of convective activity over Shenzhen on September 15, driven by moist southwesterly flow and residual monsoon influences, which typically limits peak insolation and caps daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Scattered thunderstorms or periods of cloud cover are expected to suppress temperatures relative to clearer-sky scenarios, aligning with historical September baselines of 29–31°C while allowing for brief spikes if rain timing shifts later. Ensemble spread and short-range model updates introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds, which traders appear to price through closely matched probabilities for 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting real-time adjustments to evolving moisture and steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Wolumen
$209Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate a high likelihood of convective activity over Shenzhen on September 15, driven by moist southwesterly flow and residual monsoon influences, which typically limits peak insolation and caps daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Scattered thunderstorms or periods of cloud cover are expected to suppress temperatures relative to clearer-sky scenarios, aligning with historical September baselines of 29–31°C while allowing for brief spikes if rain timing shifts later. Ensemble spread and short-range model updates introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds, which traders appear to price through closely matched probabilities for 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting real-time adjustments to evolving moisture and steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$209Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate a high likelihood of convective activity over Shenzhen on September 15, driven by moist southwesterly flow and residual monsoon influences, which typically limits peak insolation and caps daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Scattered thunderstorms or periods of cloud cover are expected to suppress temperatures relative to clearer-sky scenarios, aligning with historical September baselines of 29–31°C while allowing for brief spikes if rain timing shifts later. Ensemble spread and short-range model updates introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds, which traders appear to price through closely matched probabilities for 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting real-time adjustments to evolving moisture and steering patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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