Current short-term forecasts for Manila on September 15 indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected to moderate peak heating. Multiple models align on highs near 31°C amid high humidity and light winds, consistent with September climatological averages of 30–32°C and recent observations showing no significant heat buildup. Trader consensus favoring 33°C reflects uncertainty around localized variations or model revisions ahead of the date, though resolution criteria tied to official Philippine weather service measurements introduce inherent forecast spread. Updated runs from agencies like PAGASA will likely refine probabilities before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on September 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 15?
33°C 47%
32°C 32%
34°C 14%
31°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
9%
32°C
32%
33°C
47%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 47%
32°C 32%
34°C 14%
31°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
$10 Wol.
3%
28°C
$10 Wol.
3%
29°C
$9 Wol.
3%
30°C
$0 Wol.
6%
31°C
$0 Wol.
9%
32°C
$0 Wol.
32%
33°C
$1,652 Wol.
47%
34°C
$26 Wol.
14%
35°C
$28 Wol.
2%
36°C
$10 Wol.
2%
37°C or higher
$10 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts for Manila on September 15 indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected to moderate peak heating. Multiple models align on highs near 31°C amid high humidity and light winds, consistent with September climatological averages of 30–32°C and recent observations showing no significant heat buildup. Trader consensus favoring 33°C reflects uncertainty around localized variations or model revisions ahead of the date, though resolution criteria tied to official Philippine weather service measurements introduce inherent forecast spread. Updated runs from agencies like PAGASA will likely refine probabilities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,755Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts for Manila on September 15 indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected to moderate peak heating. Multiple models align on highs near 31°C amid high humidity and light winds, consistent with September climatological averages of 30–32°C and recent observations showing no significant heat buildup. Trader consensus favoring 33°C reflects uncertainty around localized variations or model revisions ahead of the date, though resolution criteria tied to official Philippine weather service measurements introduce inherent forecast spread. Updated runs from agencies like PAGASA will likely refine probabilities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,755Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts for Manila on September 15 indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected to moderate peak heating. Multiple models align on highs near 31°C amid high humidity and light winds, consistent with September climatological averages of 30–32°C and recent observations showing no significant heat buildup. Trader consensus favoring 33°C reflects uncertainty around localized variations or model revisions ahead of the date, though resolution criteria tied to official Philippine weather service measurements introduce inherent forecast spread. Updated runs from agencies like PAGASA will likely refine probabilities before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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