**Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models drives the closely matched market probabilities across 23–28°C for Cape Town’s September 13 maximum.** Cape Town’s spring climate features the cold Benguela Current moderating temperatures, with daytime highs typically ranging 18–22°C under prevailing southeasterly winds. Current short-range guidance shows a mix of partly cloudy to overcast conditions and possible light showers or thunderstorms, which would suppress heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Model differences arise mainly from the exact timing and strength of any Atlantic trough or cold front, variable low-level moisture, and wind shifts that could either enhance or limit afternoon warming. Historical September variability and the proximity of resolution amplify this spread, producing the observed trader consensus around the middle of the likely range. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will be key catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
22°C 21%
23°C 18%
25°C 18%
24°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
21%
23°C
18%
24°C
16%
25°C
18%
26°C
12%
27°C
11%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
3%
22°C 21%
23°C 18%
25°C 18%
24°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
$52 Wol.
3%
20°C
$0 Wol.
4%
21°C
$20 Wol.
3%
22°C
$0 Wol.
21%
23°C
$0 Wol.
18%
24°C
$0 Wol.
16%
25°C
$60 Wol.
18%
26°C
$60 Wol.
12%
27°C
$20 Wol.
11%
28°C
$9 Wol.
7%
29°C or higher
$679 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models drives the closely matched market probabilities across 23–28°C for Cape Town’s September 13 maximum.**
Cape Town’s spring climate features the cold Benguela Current moderating temperatures, with daytime highs typically ranging 18–22°C under prevailing southeasterly winds. Current short-range guidance shows a mix of partly cloudy to overcast conditions and possible light showers or thunderstorms, which would suppress heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Model differences arise mainly from the exact timing and strength of any Atlantic trough or cold front, variable low-level moisture, and wind shifts that could either enhance or limit afternoon warming. Historical September variability and the proximity of resolution amplify this spread, producing the observed trader consensus around the middle of the likely range. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will be key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$900Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models drives the closely matched market probabilities across 23–28°C for Cape Town’s September 13 maximum.**
Cape Town’s spring climate features the cold Benguela Current moderating temperatures, with daytime highs typically ranging 18–22°C under prevailing southeasterly winds. Current short-range guidance shows a mix of partly cloudy to overcast conditions and possible light showers or thunderstorms, which would suppress heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Model differences arise mainly from the exact timing and strength of any Atlantic trough or cold front, variable low-level moisture, and wind shifts that could either enhance or limit afternoon warming. Historical September variability and the proximity of resolution amplify this spread, producing the observed trader consensus around the middle of the likely range. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will be key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$900Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models drives the closely matched market probabilities across 23–28°C for Cape Town’s September 13 maximum.** Cape Town’s spring climate features the cold Benguela Current moderating temperatures, with daytime highs typically ranging 18–22°C under prevailing southeasterly winds. Current short-range guidance shows a mix of partly cloudy to overcast conditions and possible light showers or thunderstorms, which would suppress heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Model differences arise mainly from the exact timing and strength of any Atlantic trough or cold front, variable low-level moisture, and wind shifts that could either enhance or limit afternoon warming. Historical September variability and the proximity of resolution amplify this spread, producing the observed trader consensus around the middle of the likely range. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will be key catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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