Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and local observations, point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s for Austin on September 13, driven by persistent southerly winds, elevated dew points, and continued warm advection under high pressure. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average lows reach about 69°F but recent patterns have kept minima 8–10°F above normal. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential without a frontal passage, though ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty in exact minimums. Trader-implied odds reflect this range, with balanced probabilities across buckets highlighting sensitivity to small forecast shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Austin on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 13?
69°F or below 68%
88°F or higher 67%
70-71°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
69°F or below
68%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88°F or higher
67%
69°F or below 68%
88°F or higher 67%
70-71°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Wol.
68%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
39%
72-73°F
$13 Wol.
23%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
21%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
21%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
39%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
39%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
39%
88°F or higher
$0 Wol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and local observations, point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s for Austin on September 13, driven by persistent southerly winds, elevated dew points, and continued warm advection under high pressure. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average lows reach about 69°F but recent patterns have kept minima 8–10°F above normal. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential without a frontal passage, though ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty in exact minimums. Trader-implied odds reflect this range, with balanced probabilities across buckets highlighting sensitivity to small forecast shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$13Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and local observations, point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s for Austin on September 13, driven by persistent southerly winds, elevated dew points, and continued warm advection under high pressure. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average lows reach about 69°F but recent patterns have kept minima 8–10°F above normal. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential without a frontal passage, though ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty in exact minimums. Trader-implied odds reflect this range, with balanced probabilities across buckets highlighting sensitivity to small forecast shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and local observations, point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s for Austin on September 13, driven by persistent southerly winds, elevated dew points, and continued warm advection under high pressure. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average lows reach about 69°F but recent patterns have kept minima 8–10°F above normal. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential without a frontal passage, though ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty in exact minimums. Trader-implied odds reflect this range, with balanced probabilities across buckets highlighting sensitivity to small forecast shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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