Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a sharp temperature drop in Buenos Aires driven by a sudestada, with southeast winds advecting cooler maritime air and pushing the September 13 maximum into the 10–13°C range. Current consensus across sources centers near 10–12°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability. This reflects the timing of the cold front passage after warmer 16–18°C readings on September 11. Traders appear to weigh the strength of the high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover against minor model spread in exact peak values, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations. Updated model runs ahead of the 13th will likely refine these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 13?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 13?
12°C 38%
13°C 38%
11°C 13%
14°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
8°C or below
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
13%
12°C
38%
13°C
38%
14°C
10%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 38%
13°C 38%
11°C 13%
14°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
9°C
$75 Wol.
2%
10°C
$91 Wol.
4%
11°C
$514 Wol.
13%
12°C
$178 Wol.
38%
13°C
$301 Wol.
38%
14°C
$257 Wol.
10%
15°C
$85 Wol.
4%
16°C
$90 Wol.
2%
17°C
$402 Wol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$104 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a sharp temperature drop in Buenos Aires driven by a sudestada, with southeast winds advecting cooler maritime air and pushing the September 13 maximum into the 10–13°C range. Current consensus across sources centers near 10–12°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability. This reflects the timing of the cold front passage after warmer 16–18°C readings on September 11. Traders appear to weigh the strength of the high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover against minor model spread in exact peak values, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations. Updated model runs ahead of the 13th will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,097Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a sharp temperature drop in Buenos Aires driven by a sudestada, with southeast winds advecting cooler maritime air and pushing the September 13 maximum into the 10–13°C range. Current consensus across sources centers near 10–12°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability. This reflects the timing of the cold front passage after warmer 16–18°C readings on September 11. Traders appear to weigh the strength of the high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover against minor model spread in exact peak values, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations. Updated model runs ahead of the 13th will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,097Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a sharp temperature drop in Buenos Aires driven by a sudestada, with southeast winds advecting cooler maritime air and pushing the September 13 maximum into the 10–13°C range. Current consensus across sources centers near 10–12°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability. This reflects the timing of the cold front passage after warmer 16–18°C readings on September 11. Traders appear to weigh the strength of the high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover against minor model spread in exact peak values, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations. Updated model runs ahead of the 13th will likely refine these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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