**Trader consensus heavily favors the 32°C outcome at 99.8% implied probability because preliminary and observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory align with a daily maximum reaching that threshold on September 11.** Northeast monsoon influences kept conditions mostly fine with light winds, allowing peak afternoon heating to hit 32°C amid typical late-summer humidity levels around 60% or lower during midday. This matches September climatology, where average maxima hover near 31°C, and recent days have shown comparable readings without significant cloud cover or rainfall suppressing temperatures. Official resolution will depend on the finalized HKO Daily Extract confirming the absolute daily maximum. Realistic challenges include minor revisions in the official record from station-specific measurements or post-processing adjustments, though the tight clustering around 32°C indicates strong convergence across available meteorological sources.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$111,549 Wol.
$111,549 Wol.
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$111,549 Wol.
$111,549 Wol.
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
$265 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$228 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$19,467 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$11,251 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$12,789 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$20,940 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$16,005 Wol.
100%
33°C
$26,438 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$3,661 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$274 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$230 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors the 32°C outcome at 99.8% implied probability because preliminary and observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory align with a daily maximum reaching that threshold on September 11.** Northeast monsoon influences kept conditions mostly fine with light winds, allowing peak afternoon heating to hit 32°C amid typical late-summer humidity levels around 60% or lower during midday. This matches September climatology, where average maxima hover near 31°C, and recent days have shown comparable readings without significant cloud cover or rainfall suppressing temperatures. Official resolution will depend on the finalized HKO Daily Extract confirming the absolute daily maximum. Realistic challenges include minor revisions in the official record from station-specific measurements or post-processing adjustments, though the tight clustering around 32°C indicates strong convergence across available meteorological sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$111,549Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors the 32°C outcome at 99.8% implied probability because preliminary and observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory align with a daily maximum reaching that threshold on September 11.** Northeast monsoon influences kept conditions mostly fine with light winds, allowing peak afternoon heating to hit 32°C amid typical late-summer humidity levels around 60% or lower during midday. This matches September climatology, where average maxima hover near 31°C, and recent days have shown comparable readings without significant cloud cover or rainfall suppressing temperatures. Official resolution will depend on the finalized HKO Daily Extract confirming the absolute daily maximum. Realistic challenges include minor revisions in the official record from station-specific measurements or post-processing adjustments, though the tight clustering around 32°C indicates strong convergence across available meteorological sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$111,549Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors the 32°C outcome at 99.8% implied probability because preliminary and observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory align with a daily maximum reaching that threshold on September 11.** Northeast monsoon influences kept conditions mostly fine with light winds, allowing peak afternoon heating to hit 32°C amid typical late-summer humidity levels around 60% or lower during midday. This matches September climatology, where average maxima hover near 31°C, and recent days have shown comparable readings without significant cloud cover or rainfall suppressing temperatures. Official resolution will depend on the finalized HKO Daily Extract confirming the absolute daily maximum. Realistic challenges include minor revisions in the official record from station-specific measurements or post-processing adjustments, though the tight clustering around 32°C indicates strong convergence across available meteorological sources.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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