Recent cooling from a cold front and heavy rainfall has suppressed maximum temperatures in Chengdu ahead of September 12, with official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converging on highs of 22–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the distribution of market-implied odds tightly clustered around 23–26 °C. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that could nudge readings by 1–2 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official daily bulletins expected in the next 48 hours will refine the outlook before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 12?
23°C 23%
24°C 21%
25°C 19%
22°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
23%
24°C
25%
25°C
19%
26°C
11%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 23%
24°C 21%
25°C 19%
22°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
20°C or below
$20 Wol.
1%
21°C
$13 Wol.
5%
22°C
$68 Wol.
13%
23°C
$0 Wol.
23%
24°C
$106 Wol.
25%
25°C
$5 Wol.
19%
26°C
$60 Wol.
11%
27°C
$27 Wol.
5%
28°C
$22 Wol.
5%
29°C
$106 Wol.
3%
30°C or higher
$252 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from a cold front and heavy rainfall has suppressed maximum temperatures in Chengdu ahead of September 12, with official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converging on highs of 22–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the distribution of market-implied odds tightly clustered around 23–26 °C. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that could nudge readings by 1–2 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official daily bulletins expected in the next 48 hours will refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$581Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from a cold front and heavy rainfall has suppressed maximum temperatures in Chengdu ahead of September 12, with official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converging on highs of 22–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the distribution of market-implied odds tightly clustered around 23–26 °C. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that could nudge readings by 1–2 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official daily bulletins expected in the next 48 hours will refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$581Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from a cold front and heavy rainfall has suppressed maximum temperatures in Chengdu ahead of September 12, with official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converging on highs of 22–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the distribution of market-implied odds tightly clustered around 23–26 °C. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that could nudge readings by 1–2 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official daily bulletins expected in the next 48 hours will refine the outlook before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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