Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS indicates a frontal passage will bring cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover to Warsaw on September 10, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting a daily maximum near 18–19°C. Westerly winds and light precipitation further suppress temperatures compared with the 27–29°C readings of the prior two days. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with only modest upside potential if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C or 20°C reflect this guidance while acknowledging residual uncertainty in exact timing of the frontal boundary and local boundary-layer mixing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
19°C 39%
20°C 36%
18°C 16%
21°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
16%
19°C
39%
20°C
36%
21°C
11%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 36%
18°C 16%
21°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
15°C or below
$2 Wol.
2%
16°C
$15 Wol.
2%
17°C
$15 Wol.
6%
18°C
$473 Wol.
16%
19°C
$309 Wol.
39%
20°C
$254 Wol.
36%
21°C
$105 Wol.
11%
22°C
$80 Wol.
3%
23°C
$7 Wol.
1%
24°C
$161 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$355 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS indicates a frontal passage will bring cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover to Warsaw on September 10, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting a daily maximum near 18–19°C. Westerly winds and light precipitation further suppress temperatures compared with the 27–29°C readings of the prior two days. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with only modest upside potential if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C or 20°C reflect this guidance while acknowledging residual uncertainty in exact timing of the frontal boundary and local boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,776Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS indicates a frontal passage will bring cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover to Warsaw on September 10, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting a daily maximum near 18–19°C. Westerly winds and light precipitation further suppress temperatures compared with the 27–29°C readings of the prior two days. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with only modest upside potential if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C or 20°C reflect this guidance while acknowledging residual uncertainty in exact timing of the frontal boundary and local boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,776Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS indicates a frontal passage will bring cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover to Warsaw on September 10, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting a daily maximum near 18–19°C. Westerly winds and light precipitation further suppress temperatures compared with the 27–29°C readings of the prior two days. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with only modest upside potential if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C or 20°C reflect this guidance while acknowledging residual uncertainty in exact timing of the frontal boundary and local boundary-layer mixing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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