Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on September 8 under clearing skies after recent light rain, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow favor daytime heating, while low-level moisture and weak steering winds introduce uncertainty over afternoon cloud development or isolated convection that could cap the maximum. Historical September baselines near 31–32°C provide context for the slight elevation expected this year, with traders weighing model runs that differ modestly on exact timing of any showers. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
33°C 40%
34°C 35%
30°C 14%
32°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
14%
31°C
8%
32°C
10%
33°C
34%
34°C
35%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 40%
34°C 35%
30°C 14%
32°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
28°C or below
$115 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$63 Wol.
1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
14%
31°C
$0 Wol.
8%
32°C
$29 Wol.
10%
33°C
$196 Wol.
34%
34°C
$5 Wol.
35%
35°C
$18 Wol.
9%
36°C
$28 Wol.
5%
37°C
$0 Wol.
6%
38°C or higher
$111 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on September 8 under clearing skies after recent light rain, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow favor daytime heating, while low-level moisture and weak steering winds introduce uncertainty over afternoon cloud development or isolated convection that could cap the maximum. Historical September baselines near 31–32°C provide context for the slight elevation expected this year, with traders weighing model runs that differ modestly on exact timing of any showers. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$566Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on September 8 under clearing skies after recent light rain, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow favor daytime heating, while low-level moisture and weak steering winds introduce uncertainty over afternoon cloud development or isolated convection that could cap the maximum. Historical September baselines near 31–32°C provide context for the slight elevation expected this year, with traders weighing model runs that differ modestly on exact timing of any showers. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$566Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on September 8 under clearing skies after recent light rain, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow favor daytime heating, while low-level moisture and weak steering winds introduce uncertainty over afternoon cloud development or isolated convection that could cap the maximum. Historical September baselines near 31–32°C provide context for the slight elevation expected this year, with traders weighing model runs that differ modestly on exact timing of any showers. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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