Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a clear, dry night with light northwest winds under high pressure, favoring radiational cooling and an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s across Central Park. Consensus forecasts cluster the minimum between 62–64 °F, with small differences in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 64–65 °F and 66–67 °F bins. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 63 °F, providing a baseline against which current dry-air advection and minimal cloud cover are pushing readings slightly above average. Final resolution will hinge on the precise 2-meter temperature recorded at official stations between midnight and 6 a.m. on September 8, with any unexpected increase in low-level moisture or wind the main variables that could shift the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on September 8?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 8?
66-67°F 37%
64-65°F 36%
68-69°F 20%
62-63°F 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
55°F or below
3%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
37%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
5%
74°F or higher
3%
66-67°F 37%
64-65°F 36%
68-69°F 20%
62-63°F 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
55°F or below
$146 Wol.
3%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
5%
58-59°F
$0 Wol.
3%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
6%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
20%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
36%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
37%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
20%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
15%
72-73°F
$62 Wol.
5%
74°F or higher
$63 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a clear, dry night with light northwest winds under high pressure, favoring radiational cooling and an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s across Central Park. Consensus forecasts cluster the minimum between 62–64 °F, with small differences in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 64–65 °F and 66–67 °F bins. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 63 °F, providing a baseline against which current dry-air advection and minimal cloud cover are pushing readings slightly above average. Final resolution will hinge on the precise 2-meter temperature recorded at official stations between midnight and 6 a.m. on September 8, with any unexpected increase in low-level moisture or wind the main variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$271Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a clear, dry night with light northwest winds under high pressure, favoring radiational cooling and an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s across Central Park. Consensus forecasts cluster the minimum between 62–64 °F, with small differences in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 64–65 °F and 66–67 °F bins. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 63 °F, providing a baseline against which current dry-air advection and minimal cloud cover are pushing readings slightly above average. Final resolution will hinge on the precise 2-meter temperature recorded at official stations between midnight and 6 a.m. on September 8, with any unexpected increase in low-level moisture or wind the main variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$271Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a clear, dry night with light northwest winds under high pressure, favoring radiational cooling and an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s across Central Park. Consensus forecasts cluster the minimum between 62–64 °F, with small differences in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 64–65 °F and 66–67 °F bins. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 63 °F, providing a baseline against which current dry-air advection and minimal cloud cover are pushing readings slightly above average. Final resolution will hinge on the precise 2-meter temperature recorded at official stations between midnight and 6 a.m. on September 8, with any unexpected increase in low-level moisture or wind the main variables that could shift the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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