**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, center on a daily maximum near 33–34°C on September 8, 2026, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Official and model guidance, including sources tracking tropical Atlantic moisture and the Intertropical Convergence Zone, indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions with building afternoon convection and a 40–60% chance of thunderstorms. These storms typically peak after solar noon, limiting further warming and keeping the highest temperature in the narrow 33–34°C range. High humidity (often 70–90%) and moderate northwest winds further moderate the peak through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling once showers develop. Historical September averages hover near 30–32°C, so current guidance reflects a modestly above-normal but not extreme setup. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal risk of 35°C or higher unless convection is suppressed—an outcome traders have priced at only 11.5%. Updated afternoon observations or revised short-range model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities between the 33°C and 34°C contracts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on September 8?
34°C 43%
33°C 33%
35°C or higher 11%
32°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
33%
34°C
43%
35°C or higher
11%
34°C 43%
33°C 33%
35°C or higher 11%
32°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
33%
34°C
43%
35°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, center on a daily maximum near 33–34°C on September 8, 2026, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Official and model guidance, including sources tracking tropical Atlantic moisture and the Intertropical Convergence Zone, indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions with building afternoon convection and a 40–60% chance of thunderstorms. These storms typically peak after solar noon, limiting further warming and keeping the highest temperature in the narrow 33–34°C range. High humidity (often 70–90%) and moderate northwest winds further moderate the peak through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling once showers develop. Historical September averages hover near 30–32°C, so current guidance reflects a modestly above-normal but not extreme setup. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal risk of 35°C or higher unless convection is suppressed—an outcome traders have priced at only 11.5%. Updated afternoon observations or revised short-range model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities between the 33°C and 34°C contracts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania