**Recent ensemble forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a peak temperature near 32°C on September 9, driven by typical wet-season conditions with high humidity, scattered convection, and moderate trade winds.** Afternoon thunderstorm development, influenced by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, is expected to limit extreme heating while allowing brief sunny periods to push readings into the low 30s°C range. Official guidance from regional models shows consistency around 30–33°C maxima, with minor spreads arising from variations in cloud timing and wind patterns rather than large-scale shifts. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C outcomes because these align closely with the latest observational trends and short-range model consensus, while lower odds on 34°C+ reflect the low likelihood of suppressed convection under current steering flows. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
32°C 35%
31°C 23%
33°C 22%
34°C or higher 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
23%
32°C
35%
33°C
22%
34°C or higher
11%
32°C 35%
31°C 23%
33°C 22%
34°C or higher 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
$639 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$557 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$207 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$228 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$172 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$174 Wol.
2%
30°C
$512 Wol.
7%
31°C
$1,024 Wol.
23%
32°C
$547 Wol.
35%
33°C
$1,572 Wol.
22%
34°C or higher
$257 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent ensemble forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a peak temperature near 32°C on September 9, driven by typical wet-season conditions with high humidity, scattered convection, and moderate trade winds.** Afternoon thunderstorm development, influenced by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, is expected to limit extreme heating while allowing brief sunny periods to push readings into the low 30s°C range. Official guidance from regional models shows consistency around 30–33°C maxima, with minor spreads arising from variations in cloud timing and wind patterns rather than large-scale shifts. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C outcomes because these align closely with the latest observational trends and short-range model consensus, while lower odds on 34°C+ reflect the low likelihood of suppressed convection under current steering flows. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,890Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent ensemble forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a peak temperature near 32°C on September 9, driven by typical wet-season conditions with high humidity, scattered convection, and moderate trade winds.** Afternoon thunderstorm development, influenced by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, is expected to limit extreme heating while allowing brief sunny periods to push readings into the low 30s°C range. Official guidance from regional models shows consistency around 30–33°C maxima, with minor spreads arising from variations in cloud timing and wind patterns rather than large-scale shifts. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C outcomes because these align closely with the latest observational trends and short-range model consensus, while lower odds on 34°C+ reflect the low likelihood of suppressed convection under current steering flows. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,890Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent ensemble forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a peak temperature near 32°C on September 9, driven by typical wet-season conditions with high humidity, scattered convection, and moderate trade winds.** Afternoon thunderstorm development, influenced by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, is expected to limit extreme heating while allowing brief sunny periods to push readings into the low 30s°C range. Official guidance from regional models shows consistency around 30–33°C maxima, with minor spreads arising from variations in cloud timing and wind patterns rather than large-scale shifts. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C outcomes because these align closely with the latest observational trends and short-range model consensus, while lower odds on 34°C+ reflect the low likelihood of suppressed convection under current steering flows. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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