Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, is the dominant factor capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 30–31°C on September 6. Official guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global models (GFS, ECMWF) consistently shows daytime highs in this narrow band, with high humidity and easterly winds limiting solar heating. Recent observations confirm temperatures running slightly below seasonal normals amid active monsoon conditions, aligning with trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome (44% implied probability) over 30°C (28%). Minor model spread around steering patterns and localized convection keeps 32°C a secondary possibility at 15.5%, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the established moisture regime. Updated IMD and NHC-equivalent briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
31°C 47%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
30%
31°C
47%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 47%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$395 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$135 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$272 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$171 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$365 Wol.
2%
29°C
$478 Wol.
7%
30°C
$105 Wol.
30%
31°C
$293 Wol.
47%
32°C
$87 Wol.
16%
33°C
$30 Wol.
4%
34°C or higher
$93 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, is the dominant factor capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 30–31°C on September 6. Official guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global models (GFS, ECMWF) consistently shows daytime highs in this narrow band, with high humidity and easterly winds limiting solar heating. Recent observations confirm temperatures running slightly below seasonal normals amid active monsoon conditions, aligning with trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome (44% implied probability) over 30°C (28%). Minor model spread around steering patterns and localized convection keeps 32°C a secondary possibility at 15.5%, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the established moisture regime. Updated IMD and NHC-equivalent briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,423Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, is the dominant factor capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 30–31°C on September 6. Official guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global models (GFS, ECMWF) consistently shows daytime highs in this narrow band, with high humidity and easterly winds limiting solar heating. Recent observations confirm temperatures running slightly below seasonal normals amid active monsoon conditions, aligning with trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome (44% implied probability) over 30°C (28%). Minor model spread around steering patterns and localized convection keeps 32°C a secondary possibility at 15.5%, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the established moisture regime. Updated IMD and NHC-equivalent briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,423Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, is the dominant factor capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 30–31°C on September 6. Official guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global models (GFS, ECMWF) consistently shows daytime highs in this narrow band, with high humidity and easterly winds limiting solar heating. Recent observations confirm temperatures running slightly below seasonal normals amid active monsoon conditions, aligning with trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome (44% implied probability) over 30°C (28%). Minor model spread around steering patterns and localized convection keeps 32°C a secondary possibility at 15.5%, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the established moisture regime. Updated IMD and NHC-equivalent briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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