Recent forecasts from Argentine and international models highlight a polar air mass surge driving southerly winds and clear skies over Buenos Aires on September 6, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 9–10°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble runs show minimum temperatures likely between 2°C and 7°C, with wind chill potentially pushing feels-like values near or below 0°C under sustained 15–25 km/h flow. Model spread centers on exact overnight lows, as slight variations in cloud cover or wind timing could shift readings across the 0–3°C threshold. This uncertainty, set against September climatological minima near 9°C, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across positive single-digit and near-freezing outcomes, with traders weighting the latest model guidance and local observations ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 6?
8°C or higher 59%
1°C 29%
-1°C 28%
0°C 27%
-2°C or below
12%
-1°C
28%
0°C
27%
1°C
29%
2°C
25%
3°C
25%
4°C
24%
5°C
14%
6°C
14%
7°C
8%
8°C or higher
59%
8°C or higher 59%
1°C 29%
-1°C 28%
0°C 27%
-2°C or below
12%
-1°C
28%
0°C
27%
1°C
29%
2°C
25%
3°C
25%
4°C
24%
5°C
14%
6°C
14%
7°C
8%
8°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Argentine and international models highlight a polar air mass surge driving southerly winds and clear skies over Buenos Aires on September 6, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 9–10°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble runs show minimum temperatures likely between 2°C and 7°C, with wind chill potentially pushing feels-like values near or below 0°C under sustained 15–25 km/h flow. Model spread centers on exact overnight lows, as slight variations in cloud cover or wind timing could shift readings across the 0–3°C threshold. This uncertainty, set against September climatological minima near 9°C, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across positive single-digit and near-freezing outcomes, with traders weighting the latest model guidance and local observations ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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