Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles points to a maximum of 23°C in Munich on September 5, driven by a passing frontal system that will bring widespread cloud cover, morning rain, and afternoon showers with westerly winds. This setup favors the market's leading implied probabilities on 24°C (41%) and 23°C (23.5%), as the expected moisture and reduced insolation limit afternoon heating compared to the prior day's clearer 29–30°C conditions. Historical September 5 averages near 21.4°C provide context, though year-to-year variability remains high; traders appear to price in modest upside potential from model spread or localized clearing. Official temperature observations from Munich stations will resolve the market after sunset on September 5.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 5?
24°C 42%
25°C 24%
23°C 18%
26°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
18%
24°C
42%
25°C
24%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 42%
25°C 24%
23°C 18%
26°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
$322 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$75 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$279 Wol.
1%
21°C
$715 Wol.
3%
22°C
$387 Wol.
6%
23°C
$529 Wol.
18%
24°C
$275 Wol.
42%
25°C
$549 Wol.
24%
26°C
$279 Wol.
6%
27°C
$70 Wol.
1%
28°C or higher
$70 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles points to a maximum of 23°C in Munich on September 5, driven by a passing frontal system that will bring widespread cloud cover, morning rain, and afternoon showers with westerly winds. This setup favors the market's leading implied probabilities on 24°C (41%) and 23°C (23.5%), as the expected moisture and reduced insolation limit afternoon heating compared to the prior day's clearer 29–30°C conditions. Historical September 5 averages near 21.4°C provide context, though year-to-year variability remains high; traders appear to price in modest upside potential from model spread or localized clearing. Official temperature observations from Munich stations will resolve the market after sunset on September 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,551Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles points to a maximum of 23°C in Munich on September 5, driven by a passing frontal system that will bring widespread cloud cover, morning rain, and afternoon showers with westerly winds. This setup favors the market's leading implied probabilities on 24°C (41%) and 23°C (23.5%), as the expected moisture and reduced insolation limit afternoon heating compared to the prior day's clearer 29–30°C conditions. Historical September 5 averages near 21.4°C provide context, though year-to-year variability remains high; traders appear to price in modest upside potential from model spread or localized clearing. Official temperature observations from Munich stations will resolve the market after sunset on September 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,551Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles points to a maximum of 23°C in Munich on September 5, driven by a passing frontal system that will bring widespread cloud cover, morning rain, and afternoon showers with westerly winds. This setup favors the market's leading implied probabilities on 24°C (41%) and 23°C (23.5%), as the expected moisture and reduced insolation limit afternoon heating compared to the prior day's clearer 29–30°C conditions. Historical September 5 averages near 21.4°C provide context, though year-to-year variability remains high; traders appear to price in modest upside potential from model spread or localized clearing. Official temperature observations from Munich stations will resolve the market after sunset on September 5.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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