Recent forecast model runs from Environment Canada indicate Toronto's minimum temperature on September 5 will likely fall between 14–17°C, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 15–16°C, with minor spread arising from variable timing of any weak frontal boundary and urban heat island effects. This scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions explains the closely matched market-implied odds near 26–27% for the leading outcomes, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 14°C. Updated model outputs expected later today could refine the range ahead of overnight observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Toronto on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 5?
13°C 50%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
17°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
50%
14°C
26%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 50%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
17°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
$17 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$12 Wol.
2%
12°C
$22 Wol.
2%
13°C
$32 Wol.
50%
14°C
$0 Wol.
26%
15°C
$0 Wol.
27%
16°C
$0 Wol.
27%
17°C
$0 Wol.
27%
18°C
$0 Wol.
26%
19°C
$109 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$60 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from Environment Canada indicate Toronto's minimum temperature on September 5 will likely fall between 14–17°C, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 15–16°C, with minor spread arising from variable timing of any weak frontal boundary and urban heat island effects. This scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions explains the closely matched market-implied odds near 26–27% for the leading outcomes, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 14°C. Updated model outputs expected later today could refine the range ahead of overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$252Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from Environment Canada indicate Toronto's minimum temperature on September 5 will likely fall between 14–17°C, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 15–16°C, with minor spread arising from variable timing of any weak frontal boundary and urban heat island effects. This scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions explains the closely matched market-implied odds near 26–27% for the leading outcomes, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 14°C. Updated model outputs expected later today could refine the range ahead of overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$252Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from Environment Canada indicate Toronto's minimum temperature on September 5 will likely fall between 14–17°C, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 15–16°C, with minor spread arising from variable timing of any weak frontal boundary and urban heat island effects. This scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions explains the closely matched market-implied odds near 26–27% for the leading outcomes, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 14°C. Updated model outputs expected later today could refine the range ahead of overnight observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania