Latest AEMET forecasts and ensemble model guidance project a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 7 under clear to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 37°C (53%) and 38°C (40.5%). These values sit well above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 28.5°C but remain below the 38.5°C all-time record for the date. Stable high pressure and dry continental air have prevented significant cooling or moisture influx, keeping overnight lows in the low 20s and allowing strong daytime heating. Updated model runs through September 5 show little disagreement on peak values, though minor shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could trim or add a degree before final observations from Retiro or Barajas stations determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on September 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 7?
37°C 53%
38°C 41%
36°C 5%
35°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
34°C or below
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
5%
37°C
53%
38°C
41%
39°C
3%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
37°C 53%
38°C 41%
36°C 5%
35°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
34°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
35°C
$0 Wol.
4%
36°C
$33 Wol.
5%
37°C
$596 Wol.
53%
38°C
$79 Wol.
41%
39°C
$43 Wol.
3%
40°C
$0 Wol.
2%
41°C
$0 Wol.
1%
42°C
$33 Wol.
<1%
43°C
$307 Wol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$307 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET forecasts and ensemble model guidance project a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 7 under clear to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 37°C (53%) and 38°C (40.5%). These values sit well above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 28.5°C but remain below the 38.5°C all-time record for the date. Stable high pressure and dry continental air have prevented significant cooling or moisture influx, keeping overnight lows in the low 20s and allowing strong daytime heating. Updated model runs through September 5 show little disagreement on peak values, though minor shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could trim or add a degree before final observations from Retiro or Barajas stations determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$850Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET forecasts and ensemble model guidance project a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 7 under clear to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 37°C (53%) and 38°C (40.5%). These values sit well above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 28.5°C but remain below the 38.5°C all-time record for the date. Stable high pressure and dry continental air have prevented significant cooling or moisture influx, keeping overnight lows in the low 20s and allowing strong daytime heating. Updated model runs through September 5 show little disagreement on peak values, though minor shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could trim or add a degree before final observations from Retiro or Barajas stations determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$850Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET forecasts and ensemble model guidance project a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 7 under clear to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 37°C (53%) and 38°C (40.5%). These values sit well above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 28.5°C but remain below the 38.5°C all-time record for the date. Stable high pressure and dry continental air have prevented significant cooling or moisture influx, keeping overnight lows in the low 20s and allowing strong daytime heating. Updated model runs through September 5 show little disagreement on peak values, though minor shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could trim or add a degree before final observations from Retiro or Barajas stations determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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