Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, including active low-pressure systems and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms, is the main driver keeping Lucknow’s September 5 maximum temperature in the low 30s °C. Official forecasts from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department and international models converge on daytime highs of 30–32 °C under humid conditions (dew points near 25–27 °C) and 60–80 % rain probability, limiting solar heating and preventing the clearer skies needed for 33 °C or higher. Recent heavy rainfall in Uttar Pradesh has further elevated soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, reinforcing this suppression. Trader-implied probabilities center on 31 °C (46.5 %) and 32 °C (35.0 %), consistent with model consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty from potential breaks in cloud cover or forecast revisions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
31°C 47%
32°C 41%
30°C 8%
33°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
47%
32°C
41%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 41%
30°C 8%
33°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
$434 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$171 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$411 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$391 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$307 Wol.
1%
29°C
$195 Wol.
2%
30°C
$680 Wol.
8%
31°C
$2,153 Wol.
47%
32°C
$1,970 Wol.
41%
33°C
$625 Wol.
6%
34°C or higher
$188 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, including active low-pressure systems and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms, is the main driver keeping Lucknow’s September 5 maximum temperature in the low 30s °C. Official forecasts from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department and international models converge on daytime highs of 30–32 °C under humid conditions (dew points near 25–27 °C) and 60–80 % rain probability, limiting solar heating and preventing the clearer skies needed for 33 °C or higher. Recent heavy rainfall in Uttar Pradesh has further elevated soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, reinforcing this suppression. Trader-implied probabilities center on 31 °C (46.5 %) and 32 °C (35.0 %), consistent with model consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty from potential breaks in cloud cover or forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,526Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, including active low-pressure systems and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms, is the main driver keeping Lucknow’s September 5 maximum temperature in the low 30s °C. Official forecasts from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department and international models converge on daytime highs of 30–32 °C under humid conditions (dew points near 25–27 °C) and 60–80 % rain probability, limiting solar heating and preventing the clearer skies needed for 33 °C or higher. Recent heavy rainfall in Uttar Pradesh has further elevated soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, reinforcing this suppression. Trader-implied probabilities center on 31 °C (46.5 %) and 32 °C (35.0 %), consistent with model consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty from potential breaks in cloud cover or forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,526Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, including active low-pressure systems and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms, is the main driver keeping Lucknow’s September 5 maximum temperature in the low 30s °C. Official forecasts from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department and international models converge on daytime highs of 30–32 °C under humid conditions (dew points near 25–27 °C) and 60–80 % rain probability, limiting solar heating and preventing the clearer skies needed for 33 °C or higher. Recent heavy rainfall in Uttar Pradesh has further elevated soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, reinforcing this suppression. Trader-implied probabilities center on 31 °C (46.5 %) and 32 °C (35.0 %), consistent with model consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty from potential breaks in cloud cover or forecast revisions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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