Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Lucknow are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the minimum temperature anchored near 25–26 °C. High humidity (often above 85 %) and light easterly winds further suppress temperature drops by reducing the efficiency of heat loss to the sky. Official forecasts from multiple agencies converge on a 25–26 °C low for September 5, consistent with late-monsoon climatology where widespread moisture prevents the clearer, cooler nights seen earlier in the season. Market-implied odds favor 26 °C (51 %) and 25 °C (43.5 %) because these align with the current model consensus and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns; lower outcomes would require an unexpected break in cloud cover or stronger dry-air intrusion, neither of which is indicated in the latest guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
21°C or below 83%
23°C 42%
22°C 28%
24°C 2%
21°C or below
83%
22°C
28%
23°C
42%
24°C
2%
25°C
43%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 83%
23°C 42%
22°C 28%
24°C 2%
21°C or below
83%
22°C
28%
23°C
42%
24°C
2%
25°C
43%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Lucknow are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the minimum temperature anchored near 25–26 °C. High humidity (often above 85 %) and light easterly winds further suppress temperature drops by reducing the efficiency of heat loss to the sky. Official forecasts from multiple agencies converge on a 25–26 °C low for September 5, consistent with late-monsoon climatology where widespread moisture prevents the clearer, cooler nights seen earlier in the season. Market-implied odds favor 26 °C (51 %) and 25 °C (43.5 %) because these align with the current model consensus and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns; lower outcomes would require an unexpected break in cloud cover or stronger dry-air intrusion, neither of which is indicated in the latest guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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