Recent forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international services point to a daytime high near 32°C on September 7 amid expected thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover. Thunderstorms, driven by the ongoing East Asian monsoon pattern typical for early September, can suppress peak temperatures through reduced solar radiation or enhance them via localized clearing, creating the observed market spread across 31–33°C outcomes. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, but current humid conditions (dew points near 25°C) and light winds favor the 32°C consensus. Updated model runs and official observations on September 6–7 will likely refine probabilities as precipitation timing clarifies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 7?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 7?
32°C 35%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
29°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
19%
30°C
11%
31°C
20%
32°C
35%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
7%
32°C 35%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
29°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
27°C
$0 Wol.
4%
28°C
$0 Wol.
2%
29°C
$0 Wol.
19%
30°C
$2 Wol.
11%
31°C
$0 Wol.
20%
32°C
$6 Wol.
35%
33°C
$6 Wol.
24%
34°C
$53 Wol.
5%
35°C
$0 Wol.
7%
36°C or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international services point to a daytime high near 32°C on September 7 amid expected thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover. Thunderstorms, driven by the ongoing East Asian monsoon pattern typical for early September, can suppress peak temperatures through reduced solar radiation or enhance them via localized clearing, creating the observed market spread across 31–33°C outcomes. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, but current humid conditions (dew points near 25°C) and light winds favor the 32°C consensus. Updated model runs and official observations on September 6–7 will likely refine probabilities as precipitation timing clarifies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$67Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international services point to a daytime high near 32°C on September 7 amid expected thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover. Thunderstorms, driven by the ongoing East Asian monsoon pattern typical for early September, can suppress peak temperatures through reduced solar radiation or enhance them via localized clearing, creating the observed market spread across 31–33°C outcomes. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, but current humid conditions (dew points near 25°C) and light winds favor the 32°C consensus. Updated model runs and official observations on September 6–7 will likely refine probabilities as precipitation timing clarifies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$67Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international services point to a daytime high near 32°C on September 7 amid expected thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover. Thunderstorms, driven by the ongoing East Asian monsoon pattern typical for early September, can suppress peak temperatures through reduced solar radiation or enhance them via localized clearing, creating the observed market spread across 31–33°C outcomes. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, but current humid conditions (dew points near 25°C) and light winds favor the 32°C consensus. Updated model runs and official observations on September 6–7 will likely refine probabilities as precipitation timing clarifies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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