Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 5, aligning with the market’s leading 70-71°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore westerly flow and a typical late-summer marine layer will moderate daytime heating along the coast, limiting inland-style warmth despite seasonal solar angles. Historical averages for the date sit at 70.1°F, with recent days showing similar 67–70°F readings under comparable synoptic patterns. Minor model spread in cloud cover and timing of any clearing could shift the peak by a degree or two, keeping the 68–73°F range dominant while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Updated NWS and high-resolution runs ahead of the date will refine the exact maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 5?
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 20%
66-67°F 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
4%
78°F or higher
4%
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 20%
66-67°F 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
59°F or below
$0 Wol.
1%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
2%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
2%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
6%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
19%
68-69°F
$53 Wol.
25%
70-71°F
$229 Wol.
45%
72-73°F
$91 Wol.
20%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
10%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
4%
78°F or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 5, aligning with the market’s leading 70-71°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore westerly flow and a typical late-summer marine layer will moderate daytime heating along the coast, limiting inland-style warmth despite seasonal solar angles. Historical averages for the date sit at 70.1°F, with recent days showing similar 67–70°F readings under comparable synoptic patterns. Minor model spread in cloud cover and timing of any clearing could shift the peak by a degree or two, keeping the 68–73°F range dominant while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Updated NWS and high-resolution runs ahead of the date will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$370Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 5, aligning with the market’s leading 70-71°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore westerly flow and a typical late-summer marine layer will moderate daytime heating along the coast, limiting inland-style warmth despite seasonal solar angles. Historical averages for the date sit at 70.1°F, with recent days showing similar 67–70°F readings under comparable synoptic patterns. Minor model spread in cloud cover and timing of any clearing could shift the peak by a degree or two, keeping the 68–73°F range dominant while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Updated NWS and high-resolution runs ahead of the date will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$370Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 5, aligning with the market’s leading 70-71°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore westerly flow and a typical late-summer marine layer will moderate daytime heating along the coast, limiting inland-style warmth despite seasonal solar angles. Historical averages for the date sit at 70.1°F, with recent days showing similar 67–70°F readings under comparable synoptic patterns. Minor model spread in cloud cover and timing of any clearing could shift the peak by a degree or two, keeping the 68–73°F range dominant while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Updated NWS and high-resolution runs ahead of the date will refine the exact maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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