Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by NHC-adjacent regional outlooks and Argentine meteorological services indicate a strong southerly flow and clear conditions will drive radiative cooling overnight into September 5, with consensus minimum temperatures centered near 4°C—below the September climatological average of roughly 9°C. This setup, featuring brisk southwest winds up to 25–30 km/h and minimal cloud cover, favors the 3°C-or-below and 4–6°C bins currently holding the highest implied probabilities. Model spreads remain modest but allow for slight revisions if steering patterns shift or if dew-point depressions prove larger than expected; updated runs from official agencies over the next 12–24 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5?
3°C or below 80%
13°C or higher 59%
4°C 46%
9°C 46%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
3°C or below
80%
4°C
46%
5°C
29%
6°C
30%
7°C
26%
8°C
25%
9°C
46%
10°C
46%
11°C
7%
12°C
7%
13°C or higher
59%
3°C or below 80%
13°C or higher 59%
4°C 46%
9°C 46%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
3°C or below
$0 Wol.
80%
4°C
$0 Wol.
46%
5°C
$0 Wol.
29%
6°C
$0 Wol.
30%
7°C
$0 Wol.
26%
8°C
$0 Wol.
25%
9°C
$0 Wol.
46%
10°C
$0 Wol.
46%
11°C
$0 Wol.
7%
12°C
$0 Wol.
7%
13°C or higher
$0 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by NHC-adjacent regional outlooks and Argentine meteorological services indicate a strong southerly flow and clear conditions will drive radiative cooling overnight into September 5, with consensus minimum temperatures centered near 4°C—below the September climatological average of roughly 9°C. This setup, featuring brisk southwest winds up to 25–30 km/h and minimal cloud cover, favors the 3°C-or-below and 4–6°C bins currently holding the highest implied probabilities. Model spreads remain modest but allow for slight revisions if steering patterns shift or if dew-point depressions prove larger than expected; updated runs from official agencies over the next 12–24 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by NHC-adjacent regional outlooks and Argentine meteorological services indicate a strong southerly flow and clear conditions will drive radiative cooling overnight into September 5, with consensus minimum temperatures centered near 4°C—below the September climatological average of roughly 9°C. This setup, featuring brisk southwest winds up to 25–30 km/h and minimal cloud cover, favors the 3°C-or-below and 4–6°C bins currently holding the highest implied probabilities. Model spreads remain modest but allow for slight revisions if steering patterns shift or if dew-point depressions prove larger than expected; updated runs from official agencies over the next 12–24 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by NHC-adjacent regional outlooks and Argentine meteorological services indicate a strong southerly flow and clear conditions will drive radiative cooling overnight into September 5, with consensus minimum temperatures centered near 4°C—below the September climatological average of roughly 9°C. This setup, featuring brisk southwest winds up to 25–30 km/h and minimal cloud cover, favors the 3°C-or-below and 4–6°C bins currently holding the highest implied probabilities. Model spreads remain modest but allow for slight revisions if steering patterns shift or if dew-point depressions prove larger than expected; updated runs from official agencies over the next 12–24 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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