The arrival of a cold front on September 5 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment around 21–23°C for São Paulo’s daily maximum. Official guidance from INMET and regional models shows the front advancing through the state Saturday, bringing increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to southerly winds that limit daytime heating after recent sunny conditions near 28°C. This setup favors a peak near 21–22°C under persistent overcast skies and precipitation, though lighter rain or delayed frontal passage could allow brief clearing and a push toward 23–24°C. Model spread on exact timing and rainfall intensity creates the observed market dispersion, with lower outcomes (20°C or below) possible only under heavier, sustained rain. Updated forecasts and observational data through Friday evening will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 5?
22°C 31%
23°C 21%
21°C 20%
20°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
20%
22°C
31%
23°C
21%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 31%
23°C 21%
21°C 20%
20°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
$314 Wol.
2%
19°C
$181 Wol.
4%
20°C
$456 Wol.
9%
21°C
$874 Wol.
20%
22°C
$1,025 Wol.
31%
23°C
$839 Wol.
21%
24°C
$521 Wol.
7%
25°C
$83 Wol.
4%
26°C
$163 Wol.
2%
27°C
$243 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$951 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The arrival of a cold front on September 5 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment around 21–23°C for São Paulo’s daily maximum. Official guidance from INMET and regional models shows the front advancing through the state Saturday, bringing increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to southerly winds that limit daytime heating after recent sunny conditions near 28°C. This setup favors a peak near 21–22°C under persistent overcast skies and precipitation, though lighter rain or delayed frontal passage could allow brief clearing and a push toward 23–24°C. Model spread on exact timing and rainfall intensity creates the observed market dispersion, with lower outcomes (20°C or below) possible only under heavier, sustained rain. Updated forecasts and observational data through Friday evening will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,650Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The arrival of a cold front on September 5 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment around 21–23°C for São Paulo’s daily maximum. Official guidance from INMET and regional models shows the front advancing through the state Saturday, bringing increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to southerly winds that limit daytime heating after recent sunny conditions near 28°C. This setup favors a peak near 21–22°C under persistent overcast skies and precipitation, though lighter rain or delayed frontal passage could allow brief clearing and a push toward 23–24°C. Model spread on exact timing and rainfall intensity creates the observed market dispersion, with lower outcomes (20°C or below) possible only under heavier, sustained rain. Updated forecasts and observational data through Friday evening will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,650Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The arrival of a cold front on September 5 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment around 21–23°C for São Paulo’s daily maximum. Official guidance from INMET and regional models shows the front advancing through the state Saturday, bringing increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to southerly winds that limit daytime heating after recent sunny conditions near 28°C. This setup favors a peak near 21–22°C under persistent overcast skies and precipitation, though lighter rain or delayed frontal passage could allow brief clearing and a push toward 23–24°C. Model spread on exact timing and rainfall intensity creates the observed market dispersion, with lower outcomes (20°C or below) possible only under heavier, sustained rain. Updated forecasts and observational data through Friday evening will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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