Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological sources and international models indicate stable pre-frontal conditions over São Paulo on September 4, with abundant sunshine and light northwest winds supporting daytime heating to near or slightly above the September average high of 23°C. Official guidance points to a maximum of 26–28°C in the metro area before an advancing cold front brings cloud cover and possible isolated showers by afternoon, limiting further warming. This setup has concentrated trader-implied probabilities on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting consensus across updated model runs that favor modest exceedance of climatological norms on the final warm day before polar air arrives.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 4?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 4?
29°C 45%
30°C 28%
28°C 15%
31°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
15%
29°C
45%
30°C
28%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
30°C 28%
28°C 15%
31°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$644 Wol.
1%
24°C
$358 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$460 Wol.
1%
26°C
$282 Wol.
2%
27°C
$554 Wol.
3%
28°C
$1,052 Wol.
15%
29°C
$1,127 Wol.
45%
30°C
$1,844 Wol.
28%
31°C
$497 Wol.
9%
32°C
$503 Wol.
2%
33°C or higher
$228 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological sources and international models indicate stable pre-frontal conditions over São Paulo on September 4, with abundant sunshine and light northwest winds supporting daytime heating to near or slightly above the September average high of 23°C. Official guidance points to a maximum of 26–28°C in the metro area before an advancing cold front brings cloud cover and possible isolated showers by afternoon, limiting further warming. This setup has concentrated trader-implied probabilities on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting consensus across updated model runs that favor modest exceedance of climatological norms on the final warm day before polar air arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,550Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological sources and international models indicate stable pre-frontal conditions over São Paulo on September 4, with abundant sunshine and light northwest winds supporting daytime heating to near or slightly above the September average high of 23°C. Official guidance points to a maximum of 26–28°C in the metro area before an advancing cold front brings cloud cover and possible isolated showers by afternoon, limiting further warming. This setup has concentrated trader-implied probabilities on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting consensus across updated model runs that favor modest exceedance of climatological norms on the final warm day before polar air arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,550Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological sources and international models indicate stable pre-frontal conditions over São Paulo on September 4, with abundant sunshine and light northwest winds supporting daytime heating to near or slightly above the September average high of 23°C. Official guidance points to a maximum of 26–28°C in the metro area before an advancing cold front brings cloud cover and possible isolated showers by afternoon, limiting further warming. This setup has concentrated trader-implied probabilities on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting consensus across updated model runs that favor modest exceedance of climatological norms on the final warm day before polar air arrives.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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