Recent forecasts from Chinese Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing's September 4 high will likely reach 32–34°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with southerly winds and minimal precipitation supporting daytime radiative heating. Trader consensus clusters on 33°C as the leading outcome, reflecting model agreement on peak afternoon temperatures near 32–33°C amid a warming trend from clear conditions on September 2–3. Slight differentiation between 32°C and 34°C stems from uncertainties in cloud timing, wind shifts, and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C locally. New official guidance or updated model runs before resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
33°C 35%
32°C 29%
34°C 13%
31°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
29%
33°C
35%
34°C
13%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 29%
34°C 13%
31°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
$80 Wol.
1%
28°C
$0 Wol.
2%
29°C
$131 Wol.
3%
30°C
$25 Wol.
4%
31°C
$24 Wol.
11%
32°C
$59 Wol.
29%
33°C
$146 Wol.
35%
34°C
$29 Wol.
13%
35°C
$101 Wol.
6%
36°C
$0 Wol.
3%
37°C or higher
$100 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing's September 4 high will likely reach 32–34°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with southerly winds and minimal precipitation supporting daytime radiative heating. Trader consensus clusters on 33°C as the leading outcome, reflecting model agreement on peak afternoon temperatures near 32–33°C amid a warming trend from clear conditions on September 2–3. Slight differentiation between 32°C and 34°C stems from uncertainties in cloud timing, wind shifts, and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C locally. New official guidance or updated model runs before resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$695Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing's September 4 high will likely reach 32–34°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with southerly winds and minimal precipitation supporting daytime radiative heating. Trader consensus clusters on 33°C as the leading outcome, reflecting model agreement on peak afternoon temperatures near 32–33°C amid a warming trend from clear conditions on September 2–3. Slight differentiation between 32°C and 34°C stems from uncertainties in cloud timing, wind shifts, and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C locally. New official guidance or updated model runs before resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$695Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing's September 4 high will likely reach 32–34°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with southerly winds and minimal precipitation supporting daytime radiative heating. Trader consensus clusters on 33°C as the leading outcome, reflecting model agreement on peak afternoon temperatures near 32–33°C amid a warming trend from clear conditions on September 2–3. Slight differentiation between 32°C and 34°C stems from uncertainties in cloud timing, wind shifts, and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C locally. New official guidance or updated model runs before resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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