Recent cooler air mass following an early-September cold front has driven overnight lows into the low to mid-50s across Seattle, with National Weather Service and model guidance centering Friday’s minimum near 51–55 °F. This places the 52–53 °F and 50–51 °F bins as the clearest market leaders, reflecting both the sharp temperature drop from prior days and typical September climatology where daily lows average near 55 °F. Limited model spread and light winds under mostly cloudy skies support these ranges, while any brief clearing could nudge readings slightly lower before sunrise. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seattle on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 4?
52-53°F 44%
45°F or below 43%
50-51°F 32%
54-55°F 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
45°F or below
43%
46-47°F
15%
48-49°F
18%
50-51°F
32%
52-53°F
44%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
15%
64°F or higher
14%
52-53°F 44%
45°F or below 43%
50-51°F 32%
54-55°F 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
45°F or below
$0 Wol.
43%
46-47°F
$0 Wol.
15%
48-49°F
$0 Wol.
18%
50-51°F
$0 Wol.
32%
52-53°F
$0 Wol.
44%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
27%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
17%
58-59°F
$0 Wol.
16%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
15%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
15%
64°F or higher
$0 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooler air mass following an early-September cold front has driven overnight lows into the low to mid-50s across Seattle, with National Weather Service and model guidance centering Friday’s minimum near 51–55 °F. This places the 52–53 °F and 50–51 °F bins as the clearest market leaders, reflecting both the sharp temperature drop from prior days and typical September climatology where daily lows average near 55 °F. Limited model spread and light winds under mostly cloudy skies support these ranges, while any brief clearing could nudge readings slightly lower before sunrise. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooler air mass following an early-September cold front has driven overnight lows into the low to mid-50s across Seattle, with National Weather Service and model guidance centering Friday’s minimum near 51–55 °F. This places the 52–53 °F and 50–51 °F bins as the clearest market leaders, reflecting both the sharp temperature drop from prior days and typical September climatology where daily lows average near 55 °F. Limited model spread and light winds under mostly cloudy skies support these ranges, while any brief clearing could nudge readings slightly lower before sunrise. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooler air mass following an early-September cold front has driven overnight lows into the low to mid-50s across Seattle, with National Weather Service and model guidance centering Friday’s minimum near 51–55 °F. This places the 52–53 °F and 50–51 °F bins as the clearest market leaders, reflecting both the sharp temperature drop from prior days and typical September climatology where daily lows average near 55 °F. Limited model spread and light winds under mostly cloudy skies support these ranges, while any brief clearing could nudge readings slightly lower before sunrise. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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