Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts indicate a transition to clearer skies and northerly flow over the Seoul-Incheon region by September 3, supporting afternoon highs near 29–31°C after early-September rains ease. Official guidance shows maximum temperatures around 29°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with moderate northwest winds, while some global models edge slightly higher due to stronger daytime heating under reduced cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 30–31°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact insolation timing, or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the daily peak by 1°C; historical early-September averages near 27–28°C provide context for the current above-normal setup. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
30°C 44%
31°C 33%
29°C 14%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
44%
31°C
33%
32°C
9%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 44%
31°C 33%
29°C 14%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
25°C
$161 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$68 Wol.
1%
27°C
$5 Wol.
5%
28°C
$20 Wol.
10%
29°C
$14 Wol.
14%
30°C
$251 Wol.
44%
31°C
$213 Wol.
33%
32°C
$60 Wol.
9%
33°C
$12 Wol.
8%
34°C or higher
$7 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts indicate a transition to clearer skies and northerly flow over the Seoul-Incheon region by September 3, supporting afternoon highs near 29–31°C after early-September rains ease. Official guidance shows maximum temperatures around 29°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with moderate northwest winds, while some global models edge slightly higher due to stronger daytime heating under reduced cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 30–31°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact insolation timing, or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the daily peak by 1°C; historical early-September averages near 27–28°C provide context for the current above-normal setup. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$811Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts indicate a transition to clearer skies and northerly flow over the Seoul-Incheon region by September 3, supporting afternoon highs near 29–31°C after early-September rains ease. Official guidance shows maximum temperatures around 29°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with moderate northwest winds, while some global models edge slightly higher due to stronger daytime heating under reduced cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 30–31°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact insolation timing, or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the daily peak by 1°C; historical early-September averages near 27–28°C provide context for the current above-normal setup. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$811Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts indicate a transition to clearer skies and northerly flow over the Seoul-Incheon region by September 3, supporting afternoon highs near 29–31°C after early-September rains ease. Official guidance shows maximum temperatures around 29°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with moderate northwest winds, while some global models edge slightly higher due to stronger daytime heating under reduced cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 30–31°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact insolation timing, or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the daily peak by 1°C; historical early-September averages near 27–28°C provide context for the current above-normal setup. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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