Forecast models from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies converge on a daytime high near 30–32°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and dew points near 22–24°C that moderate surface heating. Recent 48-hour model runs show slight cooling from earlier warm bias as a weak frontal boundary approaches, keeping the daily maximum below late-August peaks while remaining above the long-term September 1 average of roughly 29°C. This narrow range explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and historical verification of similar late-summer setups.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
30°C 34%
31°C 29%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
34%
31°C
29%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
31°C 29%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
$157 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
3%
28°C
$75 Wol.
6%
29°C
$59 Wol.
16%
30°C
$76 Wol.
34%
31°C
$185 Wol.
29%
32°C
$175 Wol.
9%
33°C
$56 Wol.
5%
34°C
$58 Wol.
4%
35°C
$25 Wol.
1%
36°C or higher
$36 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies converge on a daytime high near 30–32°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and dew points near 22–24°C that moderate surface heating. Recent 48-hour model runs show slight cooling from earlier warm bias as a weak frontal boundary approaches, keeping the daily maximum below late-August peaks while remaining above the long-term September 1 average of roughly 29°C. This narrow range explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and historical verification of similar late-summer setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$903Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies converge on a daytime high near 30–32°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and dew points near 22–24°C that moderate surface heating. Recent 48-hour model runs show slight cooling from earlier warm bias as a weak frontal boundary approaches, keeping the daily maximum below late-August peaks while remaining above the long-term September 1 average of roughly 29°C. This narrow range explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and historical verification of similar late-summer setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$903Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies converge on a daytime high near 30–32°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and dew points near 22–24°C that moderate surface heating. Recent 48-hour model runs show slight cooling from earlier warm bias as a weak frontal boundary approaches, keeping the daily maximum below late-August peaks while remaining above the long-term September 1 average of roughly 29°C. This narrow range explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and historical verification of similar late-summer setups.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania