Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a Monday high near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with easterly flow and low rain chances, following cooler, rainier conditions on August 29. Persistent marine air advection, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating differentiate the closely matched 29–31°C outcomes in trader pricing. High humidity and modest wind speeds further temper peaks, while any afternoon clearing or model shifts in insolation could push toward the upper end of that range. Updated guidance on cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
30°C 33%
29°C 27%
31°C 21%
28°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
27%
30°C
33%
31°C
21%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
29°C 27%
31°C 21%
28°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$78 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$152 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$160 Wol.
4%
28°C
$703 Wol.
12%
29°C
$922 Wol.
27%
30°C
$308 Wol.
33%
31°C
$1,138 Wol.
21%
32°C
$266 Wol.
7%
33°C
$67 Wol.
3%
34°C
$51 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$118 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a Monday high near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with easterly flow and low rain chances, following cooler, rainier conditions on August 29. Persistent marine air advection, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating differentiate the closely matched 29–31°C outcomes in trader pricing. High humidity and modest wind speeds further temper peaks, while any afternoon clearing or model shifts in insolation could push toward the upper end of that range. Updated guidance on cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,965Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a Monday high near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with easterly flow and low rain chances, following cooler, rainier conditions on August 29. Persistent marine air advection, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating differentiate the closely matched 29–31°C outcomes in trader pricing. High humidity and modest wind speeds further temper peaks, while any afternoon clearing or model shifts in insolation could push toward the upper end of that range. Updated guidance on cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,965Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a Monday high near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with easterly flow and low rain chances, following cooler, rainier conditions on August 29. Persistent marine air advection, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating differentiate the closely matched 29–31°C outcomes in trader pricing. High humidity and modest wind speeds further temper peaks, while any afternoon clearing or model shifts in insolation could push toward the upper end of that range. Updated guidance on cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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