Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line sustaining showers and thunderstorms, is the main driver keeping implied probabilities clustered around 32–33°C for Lucknow’s August 29 high. Official IMD guidance forecasts isolated rain or thundershowers on the 29th, which reduces solar insolation through persistent cloud cover and provides evaporative cooling that typically caps daytime maxima 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Recent observations show below-normal highs (around 30°C) amid similar rainfall, while numerical models diverge on exact timing and intensity of convection, creating the tight market spread between 30–34°C outcomes. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the peak temperature ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
33°C 43%
32°C 40%
31°C 37%
30°C 21%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
7%
30°C
21%
31°C
37%
32°C
40%
33°C
43%
34°C
17%
35°C or higher
6%
33°C 43%
32°C 40%
31°C 37%
30°C 21%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Wol.
7%
30°C
$0 Wol.
21%
31°C
$0 Wol.
37%
32°C
$0 Wol.
40%
33°C
$0 Wol.
43%
34°C
$0 Wol.
17%
35°C or higher
$0 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line sustaining showers and thunderstorms, is the main driver keeping implied probabilities clustered around 32–33°C for Lucknow’s August 29 high. Official IMD guidance forecasts isolated rain or thundershowers on the 29th, which reduces solar insolation through persistent cloud cover and provides evaporative cooling that typically caps daytime maxima 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Recent observations show below-normal highs (around 30°C) amid similar rainfall, while numerical models diverge on exact timing and intensity of convection, creating the tight market spread between 30–34°C outcomes. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the peak temperature ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line sustaining showers and thunderstorms, is the main driver keeping implied probabilities clustered around 32–33°C for Lucknow’s August 29 high. Official IMD guidance forecasts isolated rain or thundershowers on the 29th, which reduces solar insolation through persistent cloud cover and provides evaporative cooling that typically caps daytime maxima 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Recent observations show below-normal highs (around 30°C) amid similar rainfall, while numerical models diverge on exact timing and intensity of convection, creating the tight market spread between 30–34°C outcomes. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the peak temperature ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line sustaining showers and thunderstorms, is the main driver keeping implied probabilities clustered around 32–33°C for Lucknow’s August 29 high. Official IMD guidance forecasts isolated rain or thundershowers on the 29th, which reduces solar insolation through persistent cloud cover and provides evaporative cooling that typically caps daytime maxima 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Recent observations show below-normal highs (around 30°C) amid similar rainfall, while numerical models diverge on exact timing and intensity of convection, creating the tight market spread between 30–34°C outcomes. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the peak temperature ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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