Persistent monsoon moisture and recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight lows elevated near 27°C through enhanced cloud cover and humidity that limit radiative cooling. Official IMD forecasts and model guidance for August 29 point to partly cloudy skies transitioning toward clearer conditions with isolated showers, which could permit modest nighttime temperature drops into the mid-20s if convection weakens as expected. High dew points near 26–28°C and light winds further constrain cooling rates, while urban heat retention in Lucknow adds a small upward bias. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–27°C because small variations in evening cloud cover or rainfall timing—key resolution factors—could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C, with fresher model runs and local observations due shortly to refine probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
27°C 38%
32°C or higher 31%
26°C 29%
25°C 27%
22°C or below
23%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
38%
28°C
26%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
31%
27°C 38%
32°C or higher 31%
26°C 29%
25°C 27%
22°C or below
23%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
38%
28°C
26%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon moisture and recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight lows elevated near 27°C through enhanced cloud cover and humidity that limit radiative cooling. Official IMD forecasts and model guidance for August 29 point to partly cloudy skies transitioning toward clearer conditions with isolated showers, which could permit modest nighttime temperature drops into the mid-20s if convection weakens as expected. High dew points near 26–28°C and light winds further constrain cooling rates, while urban heat retention in Lucknow adds a small upward bias. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–27°C because small variations in evening cloud cover or rainfall timing—key resolution factors—could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C, with fresher model runs and local observations due shortly to refine probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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