Persistent late-summer heat across central Texas, sustained by high pressure and southerly flow, positions 98–101°F as the leading outcomes for Austin’s September 1 high. Official National Weather Service and model guidance issued August 30 project mostly sunny skies with daytime maxima of 97–99°F and heat indices near 105°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average of 94°F but elevated by the ongoing regional heatwave that produced multiple 103–107°F readings in late August. Low precipitation chances and minimal cloud cover reduce the likelihood of significant cooling, while model consensus shows little day-to-day change through the holiday weekend. Traders’ concentration on the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins reflects this narrow forecast range and limited upside risk from any unexpected strengthening of the ridge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on September 1?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 1?
98-99°F 44%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 14%
102-103°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 44%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 14%
102-103°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
89°F or below
$106 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$18 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$161 Wol.
2%
94-95°F
$251 Wol.
5%
96-97°F
$119 Wol.
14%
98-99°F
$10 Wol.
44%
100-101°F
$457 Wol.
29%
102-103°F
$44 Wol.
7%
104-105°F
$0 Wol.
3%
106-107°F
$0 Wol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer heat across central Texas, sustained by high pressure and southerly flow, positions 98–101°F as the leading outcomes for Austin’s September 1 high. Official National Weather Service and model guidance issued August 30 project mostly sunny skies with daytime maxima of 97–99°F and heat indices near 105°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average of 94°F but elevated by the ongoing regional heatwave that produced multiple 103–107°F readings in late August. Low precipitation chances and minimal cloud cover reduce the likelihood of significant cooling, while model consensus shows little day-to-day change through the holiday weekend. Traders’ concentration on the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins reflects this narrow forecast range and limited upside risk from any unexpected strengthening of the ridge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,166Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer heat across central Texas, sustained by high pressure and southerly flow, positions 98–101°F as the leading outcomes for Austin’s September 1 high. Official National Weather Service and model guidance issued August 30 project mostly sunny skies with daytime maxima of 97–99°F and heat indices near 105°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average of 94°F but elevated by the ongoing regional heatwave that produced multiple 103–107°F readings in late August. Low precipitation chances and minimal cloud cover reduce the likelihood of significant cooling, while model consensus shows little day-to-day change through the holiday weekend. Traders’ concentration on the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins reflects this narrow forecast range and limited upside risk from any unexpected strengthening of the ridge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,166Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent late-summer heat across central Texas, sustained by high pressure and southerly flow, positions 98–101°F as the leading outcomes for Austin’s September 1 high. Official National Weather Service and model guidance issued August 30 project mostly sunny skies with daytime maxima of 97–99°F and heat indices near 105°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average of 94°F but elevated by the ongoing regional heatwave that produced multiple 103–107°F readings in late August. Low precipitation chances and minimal cloud cover reduce the likelihood of significant cooling, while model consensus shows little day-to-day change through the holiday weekend. Traders’ concentration on the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins reflects this narrow forecast range and limited upside risk from any unexpected strengthening of the ridge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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